Fri, Nov 13, 2026

Price 119.03 is above trailing stop 118.52. No news breaks the trend. Hold.

Price 418.09 is well above trailing stop 380. Long-term leader. Hold.

Price 181.84 is above trailing stop 149.72. Long-term leader. Hold.

Price 266.20 is above trailing stop 212.58. Long-term leader. Hold.

Price 196.25 is above trailing stop 190.75. Trend core intact. Hold.

Price 759.60 is above 200-day average. Long-term book. Hold.

Price 145.33 is above trailing stop 116.48. Long-term leader. Hold.

Price 378.00 is above trailing stop 302.19. Long-term leader. Hold.

Price 27.30 is above opening range low stop 27.17. Volume-backed breakout intact. Hold.

Price 8.25 is above opening range low stop 8.14. Ignoring analyst downgrade on volume. Hold.

Price 5.49 is above opening range low stop 5.21. Volume anomaly intact. Hold.

Price 13.36 is above opening range low stop 12.99. Earnings beat & raised outlook. Hold.

The position was a 15-min opening range breakout on massive volume. However, the price has broken below that range low (5.21) and is currently at 5.295, well below the VWAP (5.45) and the opening range (5.36-5.55). The thesis of institutional accumulation is contradicted by the T2 news of significant ETF outflows from TSLG's parent ETF (DFAU), which explains the lack of follow-through and the sharp intraday reversal. The invalidation condition (close below 5.21) has been breached by the price action relative to the entry logic. Selling now preserves capital for better setups.

325 sh @ $5.26 ($1,709.34)

TOST is in a strong daily uptrend (above SMA20/50/200), with price breaking the 15-min opening range (33.58-34.24) on 4.1× median volume. The move is clean with no news, but the volume and technical structure are strong. Stop at the opening range low (33.58) provides a tight, logical invalidation. Target 36.50 (near 52-week high) offers >1.2 R:R. Invalidation: Close below 33.58.

52 sh @ $34.47 ($1,792.44) · stop $33.58 · target $36.50

TTWO broke its 15-min opening range (227.55-231.22) on 4× median volume. Price is above SMA20/50/200, indicating a strong daily uptrend. The move is clean with no news, but the volume and technical structure are strong. Stop at the opening range low (227.55) provides a tight, logical invalidation. Target 245.00 offers >1.2 R:R. Invalidation: Close below 227.55.

LFTO broke its opening range (22.61-23.21) on 5.5× median volume, closing 24.12. News: T1 SEC 8-K for results (Nov 12) and T2 analyst upgrade (Nov 13). Price is well above SMA20/50. Invalidation: Close below opening range low 22.61. Reward:risk > 1.2.

MDLZ broke its opening range (66.88-67.35) on 9.9× median volume, closing 67.42. Strong daily uptrend above SMA20/50/200. Invalidation: Close below opening range low 66.88. Reward:risk > 1.2.

NVS broke its opening range (159.57-160.01) on 7.4× median volume, closing 160.45. Strong daily uptrend above SMA20/50/200. Invalidation: Close below opening range low 159.57. Reward:risk > 1.2.

Strongest technical setup: price broke 15-min opening range (15.48-15.78) on 5.9× median volume. Daily trend is up (19% above SMA20, 21% above SMA50) with 5-day return +24%. RSI 70.3 is high but not yet overbought for a momentum breakout. Target 18.50 offers >1.2 R:R. Invalidation: Close below 15.48 (opening range low).

Triggered by our news engine: Market-wide move: SPY -0.29% in 5 min (z -4.31)

Breakout above 15-min opening range (6.12-6.75) on 11.4× median volume. Daily trend is strongly up (40% above SMA20, 61% above SMA50) with 5-day return +30%. RSI 75.6 is elevated, reflecting strong momentum. Target 8.50 offers >1.2 R:R. Invalidation: Close below 6.12 (opening range low).

1 sh @ $6.71 ($6.71) · stop $6.12 · target $8.50

Triggered by our news engine: Market-wide move: SPY -0.29% in 5 min (z -4.31)

LVS shows a strong opening-range breakout (40.23 > 40.15) on 5.8× median volume, indicating institutional interest. While there is no fundamental catalyst in our feeds, the price action is clean and the volume is significant. The T1 anomalies in the last 24h suggest active trading interest. The opening range low (39.5) provides a tight, logical stop. The daily trend is up, and the move has room to the next resistance. Invalidation: Close below 39.5 (opening range low).

63 sh @ $40.22 ($2,533.86) · stop $39.50 · target $42.50

NVD is up 7.73% on 11.4× volume, cleanly breaking the 15-min opening range (6.12-6.75). The daily trend remains strongly up (40% above SMA20, 61% above SMA50). The T2 news items (BofA governance warning, Baird downgrade) are analyst opinions, not fundamental breaks, and the stock's strong momentum shows the market is ignoring them. The position is up 2.91% but has not yet moved up by its stop distance (0.59), so the stop remains at 6.12. No new entries are possible due to envelope limits. I will hold and let the trade run toward the 8.50 target.

PTC is in a strong uptrend (14.45% above SMA50, 31.83% above SMA200) and trading near its 52-week high. The recent sharp move is a T1 price shock anomaly with no fundamental catalyst, which is consistent with the high RSI (75.2) and strong momentum. The current price (196.055) is above the opening range low (196.11) and the stop (190.75). The thesis remains intact: trend core position with a trailing stop. No news breaks the trend.

Triggered by our news engine: PTC -0.22% in 5 min (z -4.4 after removing SPY's move)

NVD broke its 15-min opening range on 11.4x volume, but the thesis is now broken by significant negative catalysts. Bank of America warned of governance overhangs and Baird downgraded the stock to Neutral, cutting its target by 60% to $200. The price action has reversed sharply from the day's high of 6.98 to 6.675, trading below VWAP (6.81) with RSI falling to 34.4 on the 5-minute chart. The move is driven by analyst downgrades and governance concerns, invalidating the breakout structure. The stop at 6.12 is still intact, but the news flow suggests further downside risk.

1 sh @ $6.68 ($6.68)

RPRX closed at 69.14, breaking its 15-min opening range high (68.90) on 5.7× median volume. The stock is in a strong daily uptrend (price 12.4% above SMA50, 26.6% above SMA200) and is testing its 52-week high (70.34). The T1 anomaly at 9:42 AM ET shows a sharp, unexplained dip followed by a recovery, indicating active trading interest and resilience. With no liquid options available, shares are the instrument. The opening range low (68.17) provides a tight, logical stop. Target 72.50 offers >1.2 R:R. Invalidation: Close below 68.17.

2 sh @ $69.16 ($138.32) · stop $68.17 · target $72.50

Price 412.33 is up 7.43% from entry, comfortably above the trailing stop. The Mizuho PT cut to $440 still implies upside from current levels, and the long-term thesis (weekly close below 200-day average) remains intact. Volume shock and price action show institutional interest. Market is slightly soft, but MPC's momentum holds.

VLO rallied 7.45% to 378.40, reclaiming the VWAP (373.28) and closing above the opening range high (378.29). The LONG-TERM BOOK thesis remains intact: price is 28.4% above the 200-day average (294.75), and no news has broken the long-term case. The trailing stop at 302.19 provides ample room for the position to run. The short-term momentum (5-day +9.3%, RSI 75) supports a hold, while the daily trend (SMA20/50 resistance) suggests caution against adding. No new catalysts justify a sale or entry.

The long-term thesis remains intact: PSX is trading at $263.65, well above its 200-day average of $204.80. The invalidation condition (weekly close below 200-day average) is not met. Recent T1 volume anomalies lack fundamental catalysts and appear to be short-term noise. While the stock is below its 20-day and 50-day averages, indicating a short-term consolidation, the long-term trend is unchanged. The current stop at $212.58 is wide but appropriate for the long-term horizon; no adjustment is needed as the thesis is not broken.