Episode · the market · Nov 12, 10:52 AM

NOW: 2026-11-12T15:52Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 87: ESI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 33.74 above 33.62 on 6.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 33.41-33.62.
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 86: DGX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 261.85 above 261.12 on 19.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 260.68-261.12.
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 86: UTHR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 593.83 above 592.93 on 7× its median minute volume today; opening range 591.76-592.93.
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 72: BWXT new session high: closed 125.67 above 125.44 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 123.73-124.31.
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 70: TEM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 75.69 above 75.28 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 72.47-75.28.
- 15:49Z setup, P1, salience 87: ZM new session high: closed 98 above 97.65 on 6.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 96.32-97.26.
- 15:49Z setup, P1, salience 86: SANM new session high: closed 165.51 above 165.31 on 7.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 153.01-159.45.
- 15:49Z setup, P1, salience 86: SCHV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 35.03 above 34.99 on 14.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 34.97-34.99.
- 15:49Z setup, P1, salience 82: SNPS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 463.58 above 462.89 on 4.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 458.21-462.89.
- 15:49Z setup, P1, salience 79: VOYA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 103.86 above 103.73 on 4.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 103.73-103.73.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 87: PCOR new session high: closed 78.175 above 77.91 on 9.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 76.46-76.97.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 86: ENB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 48.27 above 48.21 on 5.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 47.92-48.21.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 79: BOOT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 136.03 above 135.21 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 134.88-135.21.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 77: LNG new session high: closed 309.855 above 309.54 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 303.4-305.33.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 72: CR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 212.03 above 211.75 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 211.75-211.75.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 86: EWW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 77.875 above 77.75 on 19.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 77.4-77.75.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 81: FTV new session high: closed 68.44 above 68.36 on 4.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 67.91-68.08.
- 15:52Z setup, P1, salience 87: JCI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 144.79 above 144.18 on 6.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 143.01-144.18.
- 15:52Z setup, P1, salience 87: NOK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 8.31 above 8.28 on 6.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 8.14-8.28.
- 15:52Z setup, P1, salience 87: CLSK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 6.9 above 6.81 on 4.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 6.56-6.81.
- 15:52Z setup, P1, salience 86: SCHE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 34.735 above 34.69 on 7.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 34.51-34.69.
- 15:52Z setup, P1, salience 86: MIR new session high: closed 18.035 above 18 on 23.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 17.45-17.8.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $306.56 · equity $10437.24 (+4.37%) · today -0.68% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- BOXX: 11 shares at 119.00, now 118.995 (-0.01%), stop 118.52, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 0.4% above a 50-day average 1.1% over the 200-day; 6-month 2% at 0.04% daily ATR (strength 51.66); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- FRVO: 147 shares at 12.58, now 12.325 (-1.81%), stop 11.94, target 14.5, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FRVO is breaking out above its 15-minute opening range high (12.4) on 6.3× median volume, closing at 12.45. It has a confirmed catalyst: Q3 earnings call highlights (Google deal, geothermal expansion) and recent analyst adjustments (BofA, Guggenheim). Technically, it is in a strong short-term uptrend (5-day +59.5%, 20-day +21.3%) and trading above its 20-day SMA (9.35), though slightly below its 50-day SMA (12.72). The RSI is 58.1, leaving room for upside. The stop at 11.94 is below the opening range low (12.04) and today's low, providing a clear invalidation level. The target of 14.5 offers a >1.2 reward-to-risk ratio. Invalidation: Price closes below 11.94 (opening range low).
- JD: 1 shares at 27.51, now 27.365 (-0.53%), stop 27.17, target 29.65, multi_day horizon, opened 10:07 AM ET. Thesis: JD broke its 15-min opening range (27.48) on massive 10.2× volume at 27.535. The move is clean, with the opening range low (27.17) providing a tight, logical stop. While no recent news is flagged, the sheer volume and breakout structure suggest strong institutional accumulation. Reward:risk is >1.2 (target ~29.65). Invalidation: Close below 27.17 (opening range low).
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 409.46 (6.66%), stop 380, target 448.67, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: Weekly close below 200-day average.
- NTAP: 2 shares at 184.50, now 184.29 (-0.11%), stop 147.59, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 112.5% (skipping the last month), 19.5% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 261.735 (5.21%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.01 (0.34%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 758.62 (1.49%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day avera… [cut: 17,986 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [
    {
      "symbol": "JCI",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": null,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 143.01,
      "take_profit": 148.5,
      "horizon": "multi_day",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 8,
      "rationale": "JCI is the highest-salience setup (87) with a clean 15-minute opening-range breakout (closed 144.79 above 144.18) on 6.2× median volume. The move is strong and decisive. Although no specific news is flagged, the volume and breakout structure are the primary drivers. The stop at 143.01 (opening range low) provides a tight, logical invalidation level. Reward:risk is favorable (~1.25).",
      "evidence": [
        "Price 144.79, OR high 144.18, OR low 143.01",
        "Volume 6.2× median",
        "Salience 87"
      ],
      "invalidation": "Price closes below 143.01 (opening range low).",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    },
    {
      "symbol": "CLSK",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": null,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 6.56,
      "take_profit": 7.2,
      "horizon": "multi_day",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 7,
      "rationale": "CLSK shows a strong 15-minute opening-range breakout (closed 6.90 above 6.81) on 4.4× median volume. The setup salience is 87. The stock is low-priced ($6.90), making it suitable for sizing with a tight stop at the OR low (6.56). The move is clean with no conflicting news. The target of 7.20 offers a >1.2 reward-to-risk ratio.",
      "evidence": [
        "Price 6.90, OR high 6.81, OR low 6.56",
        "Volume 4.4× median",
        "Salience 87"
      ],
      "invalidation": "Price closes below 6.56 (opening range low).",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    },
    {
      "symbol": "NOK",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": null,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 8.14,
      "take_profit": 8.6,
      "horizon": "multi_day",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 6,
      "rationale": "NOK is breaking out of its 15-minute opening range (closed 8.31 above 8.28) on 6.2× median volume. Salience is 87. While there is a recent analyst downgrade (AlphaValue/Baader), the price action is ignoring it and showing strong buying pressure. The stop at 8.14 (OR low) is tight. The conviction is lower (6) due to the negative news catalyst, but the volume and breakout structure justify the entry. Reward:risk is >1.2.",
      "evidence": [
        "Price 8.31, OR high 8.28, OR low 8.14",
        "Volume 6.2× median",
        "Salience 87",
        "News: Analyst downgrade (T2)"
      ],
      "invalidation": "Price closes below 8.14 (opening range low).",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    }
  ],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "Bought JCI, CLSK, and NOK on their opening-range breakouts. JCI and CLSK had clean breakouts with no negative news. NOK broke out despite a recent analyst downgrade, showing strong volume and price action. All positions have tight stops at their opening range lows."
}