Episode · the market · Nov 13, 9:56 AM

NOW: 2026-11-13T14:56Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 14:52Z setup, P1, salience 87: CL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 98.94 above 98.54 on 9.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 98.25-98.54.
- 14:52Z setup, P1, salience 86: FE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 46.83 above 46.77 on 11× its median minute volume today; opening range 46.63-46.77.
- 14:52Z setup, P1, salience 85: AU opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 87.89 above 87.7 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 86.68-87.7.
- 14:52Z setup, P1, salience 80: PPL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 35.515 above 35.45 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 35.31-35.45.
- 14:52Z setup, P1, salience 70: SDOW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 23.88 above 23.82 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 23.7-23.82.
- 14:53Z setup, P1, salience 86: EWZ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 32.17 above 32.08 on 7.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 31.87-32.08.
- 14:53Z setup, P1, salience 83: CHTR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 136.11 above 135.66 on 4.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 133.13-135.66.
- 14:53Z setup, P1, salience 66: UL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 66.275 above 66.18 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 66.01-66.18.
- 14:53Z setup, P1, salience 64: TTEK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 39.575 above 39.42 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 39.04-39.42.
- 14:54Z setup, P1, salience 90: TSN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 60.55 above 59.95 on 7.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 59.43-59.95.
- 14:54Z setup, P1, salience 82: VMRK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 64.535 above 64.44 on 4.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 64.15-64.44.
- 14:54Z setup, P1, salience 74: METU opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 22.84 above 22.68 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.11-22.68.
- 14:54Z setup, P1, salience 71: CCI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 90.03 above 89.92 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 89.54-89.92.
- 14:54Z setup, P1, salience 67: KVYO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 21.67 above 21.63 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 21.43-21.63.
- 14:55Z setup, P1, salience 86: SKYD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 7.55 above 7.54 on 7.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 7.45-7.54.
- 14:55Z setup, P1, salience 86: CMCSA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 25.08 above 25.03 on 5× its median minute volume today; opening range 24.86-25.03.
- 14:55Z setup, P1, salience 86: KNX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 62.53 above 62.4 on 8.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 62.04-62.4.
- 14:55Z setup, P1, salience 69: APP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 412.73 above 408.21 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 392.34-408.21.
- 14:55Z setup, P1, salience 67: RDDT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 100.53 above 100.16 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 98.4-100.16.
- 14:56Z setup, P1, salience 86: AIG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 83.09 above 82.92 on 5.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 82.81-82.92.
- 14:56Z setup, P1, salience 68: DXD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 17.22 above 17.16 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 17.09-17.16.
- 14:56Z setup, P1, salience 68: BOIL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 18.845 above 18.77 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 18.63-18.77.
- 14:56Z setup, P1, salience 65: RRC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 51.71 above 51.46 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 51.24-51.46.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $218.03 · equity $10313.28 (+3.13%) · today -0.72% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- BOXX: 11 shares at 119.00, now 119.035 (0.03%), stop 118.52, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 0.4% above a 50-day average 1.1% over the 200-day; 6-month 2% at 0.04% daily ATR (strength 51.66); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- JD: 1 shares at 27.51, now 27.645 (0.47%), stop 27.17, target 29.65, multi_day horizon, opened 10:07 AM ET. Thesis: JD broke its 15-min opening range (27.48) on massive 10.2× volume at 27.535. The move is clean, with the opening range low (27.17) providing a tight, logical stop. While no recent news is flagged, the sheer volume and breakout structure suggest strong institutional accumulation. Reward:risk is >1.2 (target ~29.65). Invalidation: Close below 27.17 (opening range low).
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 404.11 (5.15%), stop 380, target 448.67, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: Weekly close below 200-day average.
- NTAP: 2 shares at 184.50, now 180.26 (-2.21%), stop 149.72, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 112.5% (skipping the last month), 19.5% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 260.355 (4.69%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.25 (0.50%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 754.045 (0.87%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- TOST: 52 shares at 34.47, now 34.505 (0.06%), stop 33.58, target 36.5, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: TOST is in a strong daily uptrend (above SMA20/50/200), with price breaking the 15-min opening range (33.58-34.24) on 4.1× median volume. The move is clean with no news, but the volume and technical structure are strong. Stop at the opening range low (33… [cut: 17,114 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "14:56 ET: Market is softening (SPY -0.75%, QQQ -1.4%) in the closing window. 22 breakouts flagged, but most are unconfirmed moves on heavy volume with no news catalysts. I am holding all 11 positions, which are within their stops and targets. No new entries are justified in this environment."
}