Tue, Oct 27, 2026

DIA at 522.89 sits above sma20 517.45 and sma50 522.26 with +1.97% 20-day return; only qualifying swing ETF per CONTEXT. 7.5% stop at 483.67, 2.5R target 620.94.

4 sh @ $522.89 ($2,091.55) · stop $483.70 · target $620.90

Part of the owner's one-time seed buy.

SPY 768.19 is the owner's stated reference broad index; near sma50 767.49 despite slight sma20 discount. 7.5% stop 710.58, 2.5R target 912.22.

3 sh @ $767.06 ($2,301.17) · stop $710.60 · target $912.20

Part of the owner's one-time seed buy.

Just filled at 522.89; price above sma50 522.26 and sma20 517.46 with positive 20d return. Thesis intact.

Just filled at 767.06; near sma50 767.47 despite sma20 discount. Reference index hold for risk.

DIA is a 30-minute-old swing, not a broken one. Quote 522.21 at 10:16 ET is 3 cents under sma50 522.24 but still 0.93% above sma20 517.42, and the written invalidation is a daily close below 522.24, which has not happened. Unrealized −$1.71 is noise versus the 483.70 stop and 620.90 target.

SPY does not cleanly qualify as a new swing — 765.53 is under sma20 770.21 and sma50 767.44 — but the position's written invalidation is a daily close below 767.44, not this 10:19 print. Selling 3 shares at −0.17%, 30 minutes after the 767.06 fill and at the day low, would lock a loss into the 14:00 ET FOMC. No add is allowed, and the 710.60 / 912.20 exits stay.

DIA at 522.36 holds above sma50 522.25 and daily thesis intact; unrealized -0.11% with stop 7.5% away.

SPY 767.38 holds near sma50 767.47 with +0.04% unrealized; daily thesis valid into FOMC.

DIA at 522.57 remains above sma50 522.26 and opened_at 9:49 AM thesis intact; no daily invalidation.

SPY at 767.59 above sma50 767.47 and VWAP 766.68; thesis from 9:49 AM entry remains valid.

DIA at 523.44 is only +0.10% versus the 522.89 entry and still above both sma20 517.45 and sma50 522.26, with price just +0.08% versus VWAP 522.59. The swing invalidation is a daily close below 522.26, which has not happened, and a roughly $0.55 gain is not 1R against the 483.70 stop, so there is nothing to sell or tighten ahead of 14:00.

SPY at 769.34 is +0.31% versus the 767.06 entry, above VWAP 767.12 and sma50 767.51, with trend_5m up. It is still 0.14% under sma20 770.38, so this is the weaker swing, but the written invalidation — a daily close below 767.49 — has not hit, and +$2.28 a share is not 1R versus the 710.60 stop. Selling a green index hold 90 minutes after entry, solely because FOMC is at 14:00, would be churn.

DIA at 523.91 holds above sma50 522.28 and daily thesis; +0.2% unrealized with stop 7.5% away.

SPY at 769.81 holds above sma50 767.52 and VWAP 767.55; +0.37% unrealized with stop intact ahead of FOMC.

DIA 523.79 holds above sma50 522.27 and daily thesis; small +0.18% unrealized P&L with stop 7.5% away.

SPY 770.25 above sma50 767.53 with +0.42% unrealized; multi-day thesis intact ahead of FOMC.

DIA at 523.46 is still above sma20 517.48 and sma50 522.27 with return_20d +2.08%, so the daily swing thesis is intact. The +0.10% open gain is intraday noise, not 1R, and tightening the 483.70 stop into the Fed would violate holding a swing through a wick.

SPY at 770.18 is +0.65% on the day, above VWAP and sma50 767.53, and the written invalidation is a daily close under that average, which has not happened. It is 3 cents under sma20, so this is a hold of a working reference swing, not a reason to add or to sell over a flat 30-minute tape.

DIA at 522.82 holds sma50 522.26 and sma20 517.46; unrealized -0.01%, thesis intact ahead of FOMC.

SPY at 769.22 above VWAP 768.24 and sma50 767.51 with +0.29% today; 5m trend up, thesis holds.

DIA at 522.87 holds daily sma50 522.25 and sma20 517.44 with +1.97% 20d return; thesis intact into FOMC.

SPY 769.41 above VWAP 768.25 and sma50 767.51 with +0.66% 20d return; thesis intact into FOMC.

DIA 522.75 sits 0.09% above sma50 522.26 with +1.95% 20-day return; thesis intact into FOMC.

SPY 769.09 holds 0.21% above sma50 767.51 with positive 20-day return; no reason to exit before FOMC.

DIA at 522.68 holds above sma20 517.44 and near sma50 522.25 with +1.93% 20-day return; daily thesis intact into FOMC.

SPY at 769.14 above sma50 767.5 with +0.62% 20-day return; thesis holds despite minor sma20 discount.