Episode · the market · Nov 9, 11:32 AM

NOW: 2026-11-09T16:32Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 16:28Z setup, P1, salience 86: CNP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 40.89 above 40.78 on 6.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 40.52-40.78.
- 16:28Z setup, P1, salience 73: MRNA new session high: closed 277.455 above 276.6 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 255.2-262.47.
- 16:28Z setup, P1, salience 72: ELAN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 26.73 above 26.61 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 26.33-26.61.
- 16:28Z setup, P1, salience 70: JBHT new session high: closed 224.66 above 224.31 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 219-222.69.
- 16:28Z setup, P1, salience 67: WTFC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 155 above 154.28 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 154.28-154.28.
- 16:29Z setup, P1, salience 87: SEIC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 107.9 above 107.43 on 38.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 107.43-107.43.
- 16:29Z setup, P1, salience 86: DE new session high: closed 695.46 above 694.48 on 15.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 682.18-687.72.
- 16:29Z setup, P1, salience 86: UTHR new session high: closed 569.22 above 568.63 on 6.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 560.82-561.15.
- 16:29Z setup, P1, salience 76: SJM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 132.49 above 131.17 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 130.44-131.17.
- 16:29Z setup, P1, salience 70: DG new session high: closed 134.99 above 134.82 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 133.71-134.37.
- 16:30Z setup, P1, salience 73: IEX new session high: closed 235.56 above 235.16 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 229.88-232.14.
- 16:30Z setup, P1, salience 72: XAR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 236.025 above 227.98 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 227.98-227.98.
- 16:30Z setup, P1, salience 68: FDX new session high: closed 319.56 above 318.93 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 313.29-317.28.
- 16:30Z setup, P1, salience 68: ITW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 287.2 above 286.25 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 283.75-286.25.
- 16:30Z setup, P1, salience 63: CRH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 97.37 above 97.11 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 96.01-97.11.
- 16:31Z setup, P1, salience 87: RPM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 105.49 above 105.08 on 5.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 103.95-105.08.
- 16:31Z setup, P1, salience 62: COR new session high: closed 344.28 above 343.82 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 338.25-343.
- 16:32Z setup, P1, salience 88: SSB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 106.34 above 105.47 on 4.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 105.3-105.47.
- 16:32Z setup, P1, salience 80: HII new session high: closed 304.13 above 303.71 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 294.17-295.69.
- 16:32Z setup, P1, salience 74: KEX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 124.03 above 121.07 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 121.07-121.07.
- 16:32Z setup, P1, salience 74: ODFL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 170.26 above 169.85 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 166.46-169.85.
- 16:32Z setup, P1, salience 71: SPGI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 469.54 above 469 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 465.55-469.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $9944.62 (-0.55%) · today +0.42% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 104.7 (0.96%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 388.87 (1.35%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 138.14 (0.96%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 304.26 (-0.32%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252 (1.19%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.57 (0.11%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 196.95 (-1.01%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 749.555 (0.27%), stop none, target non… [cut: 16,263 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "16:32Z: Closing window. No new entries allowed. All setups are late-day breakouts without catalysts (news absent or unconfirmed anomalies). Book holds 11 stocks; no exits triggered. Cash $239.54."
}