Episode · the market · Nov 5, 10:06 AM

NOW: 2026-11-05T15:06Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:02Z setup, P1, salience 86: MCD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 281 above 280.19 on 5.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 277.88-280.19.
- 15:02Z setup, P1, salience 86: ESS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 276.38 above 276.06 on 7.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 275.87-276.06.
- 15:02Z setup, P1, salience 84: PCVX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 64.55 above 64.18 on 4.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 63.93-64.18.
- 15:02Z setup, P1, salience 82: AMZD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 8.24 above 8.11 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 7.92-8.11.
- 15:02Z setup, P1, salience 81: CORD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 8.04 above 7.86 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 7.29-7.86.
- 15:03Z setup, P1, salience 89: ECO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 86.71 above 85.94 on 6.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 84.95-85.94.
- 15:03Z setup, P1, salience 86: ROL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 39.085 above 39.02 on 6.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 38.67-39.02.
- 15:03Z setup, P1, salience 79: ROP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 503.79 above 500.69 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 496.36-500.69.
- 15:03Z setup, P1, salience 73: XLV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 191.9 above 191.55 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 190.59-191.55.
- 15:03Z setup, P1, salience 63: ELS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 63.55 above 63.41 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 63.31-63.41.
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 89: NVD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 5.11 above 4.89 on 4.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 4.84-4.89.
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 80: HDV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 31.38 above 31.34 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 31.23-31.34.
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 80: VGLT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 52.52 above 52.45 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 52.39-52.45.
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 79: IYH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 80.6 above 80.47 on 4.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 79.94-80.47.
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 73: AR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 38.38 above 38.19 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 37.73-38.19.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 80: PAYC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 260.46 above 255.03 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 244.39-255.03.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 73: DOW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 33.08 above 32.99 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 32.75-32.99.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 70: PCTY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 172.95 above 172.56 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 171.3-172.56.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 69: PFE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 31.35 above 31.21 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 31.06-31.21.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 67: BRO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 75.38 above 75.09 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 74.72-75.09.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 87: TRP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 64.82 above 64.51 on 6.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 63.46-64.51.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 86: CRGY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 11.905 above 11.87 on 13.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 11.77-11.87.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 76: DGX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 257.33 above 256.23 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 255.04-256.23.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 70: ALL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 279.025 above 277.72 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 274.41-277.72.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 64: ENB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 49.56 above 49.33 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 49.16-49.33.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $9896.37 · equity $9896.37 (-1.04%) · today +0% · 0 stocks, 0 options positions
- no stock positions

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 1/4 entries in 24 h, 0/2 in the last hour, 0/4 open; $990 more can be committed this hour; an entry is 50% of what the risk checks allow; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 24 h after a stop-out or 6 h after an exit.
- Risk checks: at most 25% of equity per position ($2474.09); 0/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (≥ 8 for an overnight buy in the closing window, and none intraday then); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $9698.44 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2474); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders.

MARKET
- SPY 752.025 (-0.49%), QQQ 664.635 (-3.75%), IWM 279.67, DIA 527.92, VIXY 18.34, TLT 81.865

SUBJECT MCD
- 280.88; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT ESS
- 275.94; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT PCVX
- 64.57; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
7e367a3639ff [Nov 4, 4:09 PM ET | T1 sec.gov | earnings | sev 60] PCVX 8-K: 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1649094/000164909426000051/0001649094-26-000051-index.htm)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT AMZD
- 8.29; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT CORD
- 8.08; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT ECO
- 86.805; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT ROL
- 39.19; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT ROP
- 503.06; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
7b8fd3b94b2c [Nov 4, 1:02 PM ET | T2 moomoo.com | guidance | sev 55 | +2.6% since] Roche CFO Discusses Giredestrant Sales Outlook Ahead of Anticipated Launch (https://www.moomoo.com/news/post/1003481057/roche-comfortable-with-consensus-giredestrant-sales-ahead-of-launch-berenberg)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT XLV
- 192.12; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
029912093807 [Nov 4, 10:40 AM ET | T2 seekingalpha.com | guidance | sev 68] Democratic sweep puts healthcare in focus as defense stocks face a tougher outlook (https://seekingalpha.com/news/4664839-democratic-sweep-puts-healthcare-in-focus-as-defense-stocks-face-a-tougher-outlook?feed_item_type=news)
0853b7b232cc [Nov 5, 9:51 AM ET | T1 anomaly | volume shock | sev 33 | +0.6% since] XLV traded 8.61× its median 1-minute IEX volume (+0.19%)
835bd95a4b3b [Nov 4, 10:33 AM ET | T1 anomaly | volume shock | sev 33 | +3.5% since] XLV traded 5.33× its median 1-minute IEX volume (+0.02%)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT ELS
- 63.55; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most seve… [cut: 12,842 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [
    {
      "kind": "price_below",
      "symbol": "MCD",
      "level": 280.19,
      "at": null,
      "hours": 24,
      "priority": "review",
      "note": "MCD breakout setup. Watch for retest of 280.19 (OR high) or further upside. No news catalyst found in last 24h."
    },
    {
      "kind": "price_below",
      "symbol": "ESS",
      "level": 276.06,
      "at": null,
      "hours": 24,
      "priority": "review",
      "note": "ESS breakout setup. Watch for retest of 276.06 (OR high). No news catalyst found in last 24h."
    },
    {
      "kind": "price_below",
      "symbol": "ECO",
      "level": 85.94,
      "at": null,
      "hours": 24,
      "priority": "review",
      "note": "ECO breakout setup. Watch for retest of 85.94 (OR high). No news catalyst found in last 24h."
    },
    {
      "kind": "price_below",
      "symbol": "NVD",
      "level": 4.89,
      "at": null,
      "hours": 24,
      "priority": "review",
      "note": "NVD breakout setup. Watch for retest of 4.89 (OR high). No news catalyst found in last 24h."
    },
    {
      "kind": "price_below",
      "symbol": "PAYC",
      "level": 255.03,
      "at": null,
      "hours": 24,
      "priority": "review",
      "note": "PAYC breakout setup. Watch for retest of 255.03 (OR high). Earnings reported Nov 4, 8-K filed. Anomaly noted."
    },
    {
      "kind": "price_below",
      "symbol": "TRP",
      "level": 64.51,
      "at": null,
      "hours": 24,
      "priority": "review",
      "note": "TRP breakout setup. Watch for retest of 64.51 (OR high). Anomaly noted Nov 5."
    },
    {
      "kind": "price_below",
      "symbol": "CRGY",
      "level": 11.87,
      "at": null,
      "hours": 24,
      "priority": "review",
      "note": "CRGY breakout setup. Watch for retest of 11.87 (OR high). No news catalyst found in last 24h."
    }
  ],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "No new entries. The setups are opening-range breakouts with no fundamental catalysts and the market is in the closing window. I will watch the breakout levels for potential retests or further moves."
}