Episode · the market · Nov 9, 11:07 AM

NOW: 2026-11-09T16:07Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 16:03Z setup, P1, salience 93: AVAV new session high: closed 124.43 above 122.53 on 21.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 114.25-114.25.
- 16:03Z setup, P1, salience 88: DELL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 353.965 above 336.62 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 329.53-336.62.
- 16:03Z setup, P1, salience 87: FTAI new session high: closed 195.605 above 194.66 on 6.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 186.22-191.98.
- 16:03Z setup, P1, salience 81: FLEX new session high: closed 79.7 above 79.52 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 72.42-75.32.
- 16:03Z setup, P1, salience 79: WDC new session high: closed 287.49 above 287.02 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 270.97-283.21.
- 16:04Z setup, P1, salience 66: JBL new session high: closed 253.425 above 252.95 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 241.05-244.7.
- 16:04Z setup, P1, salience 64: AMD new session high: closed 503.99 above 503.3 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 470.33-480.35.
- 16:04Z setup, P1, salience 63: MXL new session high: closed 56.13 above 55.97 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 49.37-51.78.
- 16:05Z setup, P1, salience 88: AGQ new session high: closed 50.11 above 49.85 on 5.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 49.34-49.77.
- 16:05Z setup, P1, salience 84: AAOI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 53.555 above 51.33 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 48.53-51.33.
- 16:05Z setup, P1, salience 84: IONQ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 35.41 above 33.17 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 32.26-33.17.
- 16:05Z setup, P1, salience 82: GFS new session high: closed 40.91 above 40.85 on 4.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 38.8-39.44.
- 16:05Z setup, P1, salience 78: EMBJ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 76.755 above 76.44 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 75.9-76.44.
- 16:06Z setup, P1, salience 88: KRMN new session high: closed 46.84 above 46.6 on 9.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 44.99-46.02.
- 16:06Z setup, P1, salience 86: CLF new session high: closed 12.345 above 12.32 on 7.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 11.72-11.93.
- 16:06Z setup, P1, salience 70: BP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 44.645 above 44.53 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 44.05-44.53.
- 16:06Z setup, P1, salience 65: M opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 24.89 above 24.86 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 23.72-24.86.
- 16:06Z setup, P1, salience 64: BUD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 84.38 above 84.12 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 83.85-84.12.
- 16:07Z setup, P1, salience 88: BTG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 5.64 above 5.61 on 5.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 5.54-5.61.
- 16:07Z setup, P1, salience 72: TEX new session high: closed 58.4 above 58.24 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 56.42-57.33.
- 16:07Z setup, P1, salience 71: MET new session high: closed 102.685 above 102.45 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 99.82-101.15.
- 16:07Z setup, P1, salience 69: FBIN new session high: closed 50.49 above 50.41 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 48.75-50.11.
- 16:07Z setup, P1, salience 68: MSGK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 314.81 above 314.09 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 314.09-314.09.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10059.23 (+0.59%) · today +1.58% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.26 (2.37%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 390.89 (1.82%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 140.25 (2.55%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 312.69 (2.82%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252.265 (1.38%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.44 (0.07%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 197.38 (-0.83%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, no… [cut: 17,427 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 16:07 ET, past the closing window. No new entries are allowed. The book holds 11 stocks with no exits triggered; cash is low. I am holding the course."
}