Episode · the market · Nov 9, 11:52 AM

NOW: 2026-11-09T16:52Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 16:48Z setup, P1, salience 63: XLP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 90.46 above 90.17 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 89.97-90.17.
- 16:48Z setup, P1, salience 62: JHX new session high: closed 29.935 above 29.9 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 28.69-29.34.
- 16:49Z setup, P1, salience 86: CF new session high: closed 121.13 above 120.87 on 6.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 118.64-120.09.
- 16:49Z setup, P1, salience 86: AVTR new session high: closed 15.77 above 15.75 on 8.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 15.42-15.53.
- 16:49Z setup, P1, salience 86: NVO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 41.065 above 41.01 on 6.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 40.59-41.01.
- 16:49Z setup, P1, salience 86: COF opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 201.07 above 200.76 on 5.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 191.98-200.76.
- 16:49Z setup, P1, salience 78: BIIB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 257.25 above 248.44 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 248.07-248.44.
- 16:50Z setup, P1, salience 92: RTX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 195.98 above 193.41 on 8× its median minute volume today; opening range 191.69-193.41.
- 16:50Z setup, P1, salience 86: GME new session high: closed 25.51 above 25.48 on 6.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 24.68-25.35.
- 16:50Z setup, P1, salience 83: NDAQ new session high: closed 108.92 above 108.8 on 4.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 107.43-107.83.
- 16:50Z setup, P1, salience 81: TKR new session high: closed 108.37 above 108.18 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 104.53-105.
- 16:50Z setup, P1, salience 69: BWA new session high: closed 51.325 above 51.23 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 49.67-50.68.
- 16:51Z setup, P1, salience 83: SGI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 65.66 above 65.49 on 4.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 62.97-65.49.
- 16:51Z setup, P1, salience 83: NNN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 41.53 above 41.47 on 4.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 41.21-41.47.
- 16:51Z setup, P1, salience 73: VLUE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 187.27 above 184.41 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 184.39-184.41.
- 16:51Z setup, P1, salience 67: C opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 121.58 above 121.45 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 118.76-121.45.
- 16:51Z setup, P1, salience 64: FRVO new session high: closed 11.38 above 11.34 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 9.05-9.66.
- 16:52Z setup, P1, salience 86: GH new session high: closed 161.945 above 161.69 on 5.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 151.83-157.28.
- 16:52Z setup, P1, salience 79: WOLF new session high: closed 26.01 above 25.97 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 24.2-25.14.
- 16:52Z setup, P1, salience 72: P new session high: closed 104.37 above 104.18 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 97.52-99.52.
- 16:52Z setup, P1, salience 70: RVTY new session high: closed 159.84 above 159.08 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 156.51-157.15.
- 16:52Z setup, P1, salience 69: IHI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 58.24 above 58.15 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 57.8-58.15.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10002.91 (+0.03%) · today +1.01% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.135 (2.20%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 390.91 (1.90%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 141.09 (2.89%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 301.85 (-0.84%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252.78 (1.61%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.53 (0.11%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 196.405 (-1.28%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 751.105 (0.46%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-da… [cut: 17,551 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 16:52Z ET, well past the 16:30Z closing window. No new entries are permitted in the closing window, and intraday positions are closed by code before the bell. All listed setups are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts, and the market is closing. I hold 11 stocks in the book; none require an exit based on news or trend breaks at this time."
}