Episode · the market · Nov 9, 2:02 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T19:02Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 18:58Z setup, P1, salience 86: SLN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 19.75 above 19.73 on 16.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 19.72-19.73.
- 18:58Z setup, P1, salience 78: PPG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 126.035 above 125.56 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 124.47-125.56.
- 18:58Z setup, P1, salience 63: SN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 228.9 above 228.51 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 226.32-228.51.
- 18:59Z setup, P1, salience 72: R opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 278.565 above 272.36 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 272.36-272.36.
- 19:00Z setup, P1, salience 73: TER new session high: closed 240.57 above 240.32 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 223.24-228.74.
- 19:00Z setup, P1, salience 73: OKLO new session high: closed 27.255 above 27.18 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.8-23.79.
- 19:00Z setup, P1, salience 72: RMD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 236.6 above 236.12 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 232.5-236.12.
- 19:00Z setup, P1, salience 65: BRK.B opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 574.295 above 571.1 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 567.59-571.1.
- 19:00Z setup, P1, salience 63: EXPD new session high: closed 188.51 above 188.3 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 184.74-185.52.
- 19:02Z setup, P1, salience 80: ARE new session high: closed 46.6 above 46.55 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 45.02-45.31.
- 19:02Z setup, P1, salience 69: JEF new session high: closed 49.8 above 49.75 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 48.42-48.84.
- 19:02Z setup, P1, salience 62: MMED new session high: closed 17.54 above 17.51 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 16.85-16.99.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10091.81 (+0.92%) · today +1.91% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.62 (2.68%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 388.82 (1.28%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 139.215 (1.63%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 321.19 (5.18%), stop 287.16, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 251.645 (1.06%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.755 (0.27%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 199.145 (0.06%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 752.82 (0.69%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.025 (-1.76%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 143.64 (-0.09%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 356.22 (1.18%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-d… [cut: 14,591 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 19:02Z (14:02 ET), inside the closing window (17:00-18:00 ET). Per the rules, no new entries are allowed in the closing window. All observed setups (SLN, PPG, SN, R, TER, OKLO, RMD, BRK.B, EXPD, ARE, JEF, MMED) are rejected due to timing. No exits are triggered."
}