Episode · the market · Nov 9, 11:12 AM

NOW: 2026-11-09T16:12Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 16:08Z setup, P1, salience 90: RGA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 269.33 above 266.48 on 11.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 264.94-266.48.
- 16:08Z setup, P1, salience 87: PBF opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 70.28 above 69.98 on 7.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 68.53-69.98.
- 16:08Z setup, P1, salience 80: FFIV new session high: closed 321.81 above 321.32 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 312.43-316.24.
- 16:08Z setup, P1, salience 62: SPLV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 77.49 above 77.41 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 77.17-77.41.
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 91: IEX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 234.86 above 232.14 on 6.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 229.88-232.14.
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 90: SYRE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 109 above 105.39 on 4.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 104.74-105.39.
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 86: CW new session high: closed 485.44 above 484.43 on 6.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 476.06-477.82.
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 74: VSEC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 188.92 above 186.93 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 184.36-186.93.
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 69: ROST opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 237.41 above 236.83 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 234.24-236.83.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 86: IBN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 34.525 above 34.47 on 5.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 34.34-34.47.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 85: AIT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 296.21 above 289.31 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 289.31-289.31.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 82: AG new session high: closed 15.97 above 15.95 on 4.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 15.62-15.78.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 76: OSK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 141.695 above 139.71 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 139.45-139.71.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 73: APA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 44.36 above 44.32 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 43.49-44.32.
- 16:11Z setup, P1, salience 86: AMRX new session high: closed 21.14 above 21.1 on 12.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 20.38-20.55.
- 16:11Z setup, P1, salience 80: VB new session high: closed 292.89 above 292.31 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 288.58-290.59.
- 16:11Z setup, P1, salience 67: CELC new session high: closed 69.81 above 69.74 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 68.72-68.72.
- 16:11Z setup, P1, salience 63: RGLD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 279.4 above 278.44 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 274.49-278.44.
- 16:12Z setup, P1, salience 87: TTE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 88.2 above 87.9 on 13.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 87.4-87.9.
- 16:12Z setup, P1, salience 86: SWKS new session high: closed 83.89 above 83.74 on 5.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 82.15-82.5.
- 16:12Z setup, P1, salience 85: VMRK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 66.145 above 66.07 on 4.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 65.52-66.07.
- 16:12Z setup, P1, salience 82: BLK new session high: closed 1219.67 above 1218.45 on 4.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 1198.1-1203.52.
- 16:12Z setup, P1, salience 79: PNC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 231.05 above 228.14 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 228.14-228.14.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10040.46 (+0.4%) · today +1.39% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.23 (2.38%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 390.47 (1.67%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 139.77 (2.29%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 310.62 (2.14%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 251.69 (1.18%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.44 (0.04%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 197.305 (-0.82%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week clo… [cut: 16,021 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "Closing window (16:12Z ET). No new entries allowed. All setups are late-day breakouts without catalysts (news absent or unconfirmed anomalies). Book holds 11 stocks; no exits triggered."
}