Episode · the market · Nov 6, 10:31 AM

NOW: 2026-11-06T15:31Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:27Z setup, P1, salience 87: REGN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 905.285 above 902.13 on 6.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 891.01-902.13.
- 15:27Z setup, P1, salience 87: BSX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 43.505 above 43.34 on 5.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 42.96-43.34.
- 15:27Z setup, P1, salience 86: TPR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 133.59 above 133.43 on 5.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 131.09-133.43.
- 15:27Z setup, P1, salience 80: JBHT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 218.04 above 217.13 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 217.13-217.13.
- 15:27Z setup, P1, salience 76: ALSN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 117.29 above 116.01 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 116.01-116.01.
- 15:28Z setup, P1, salience 89: VFH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 139.65 above 138.59 on 9.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 137.87-138.59.
- 15:28Z setup, P1, salience 87: LDOS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 133 above 132.51 on 5× its median minute volume today; opening range 132.51-132.51.
- 15:28Z setup, P1, salience 78: ULTA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 647.98 above 644.68 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 643.81-644.68.
- 15:28Z setup, P1, salience 71: NVR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 6351.51 above 6228.51 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 6217.21-6228.51.
- 15:28Z setup, P1, salience 71: NRIX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 15.365 above 15.22 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 14.85-15.22.
- 15:29Z setup, P1, salience 94: BIIB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 247.115 above 242.63 on 6.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 240.94-242.63.
- 15:29Z setup, P1, salience 86: AIG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 79.45 above 79.34 on 6.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 78.8-79.34.
- 15:29Z setup, P1, salience 86: ARW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 181.94 above 181.72 on 11.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 181.72-181.72.
- 15:29Z setup, P1, salience 73: CTRE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 37.015 above 36.86 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 36.71-36.86.
- 15:29Z setup, P1, salience 72: DD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 147.41 above 144.84 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 144.75-144.84.
- 15:30Z setup, P1, salience 88: NVDQ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 11.1 above 11 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 10.62-11.
- 15:30Z setup, P1, salience 86: BJ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 109.28 above 109.15 on 7× its median minute volume today; opening range 108.28-109.15.
- 15:30Z setup, P1, salience 73: SE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 74.96 above 74.07 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 72.66-74.07.
- 15:30Z setup, P1, salience 72: SNDQ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 32.39 above 31.66 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 27.56-31.66.
- 15:30Z setup, P1, salience 70: CASY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 687.12 above 681.69 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 681.69-681.69.
- 15:31Z setup, P1, salience 95: NVD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 5.02 above 4.85 on 9.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 4.75-4.85.
- 15:31Z setup, P1, salience 94: AEE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 114.255 above 112.14 on 5× its median minute volume today; opening range 112.04-112.14.
- 15:31Z setup, P1, salience 92: VSEC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 175 above 169.17 on 4.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 164.49-169.17.
- 15:31Z setup, P1, salience 80: SOXS new session high: closed 73.84 above 72.81 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 66.56-71.98.
- 15:31Z setup, P1, salience 75: AMG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 354.42 above 353.71 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 353.71-353.71.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $9795.13 · equity $9900.93 (-0.99%) · today 0% · 1 stocks, 0 options positions
- TNA: 2 shares at 52.95, now 52.91 (-0.10%), stop 52.5, target 55.5, intraday horizon, opened 9:47 AM ET. Thesis: TNA shows the cleanest intraday breakout among the 5 candidates: price closed 53.115 above the 15-min OR high of 52.85 on 5.8× median volume, with a tight 51.84-53.13 range and no negative news. Daily trend is down but RSI 39.7 is not oversold, and the 5-day decline (-7.8%) is modest. Entry at ~53.12, stop at OR low 51.84 (2.4% risk), target 55.50 (4.4% reward, R:R ~1.8). Size 2.5% of equity ($247.50) to keep risk small in a volatile market (-3.5% SPY). Invalidation: Reclaim below 52.85 (OR high) or a broad market selloff accelerating.

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 3/4 entries in 24 h, 1/2 in the last hour, 1/4 open; $884 more can be committed this hour; an entry is 50% of what the risk checks allow; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 24 h after a stop-out or 6 h after an exit.
- Risk checks: at most 25% of equity per position ($2475.23); 1/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (≥ 8 for an overnight buy in the closing window, and none intraday then); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $9597.11 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2475); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders.

MARKET
- SPY 738.35 (-3.7%), QQQ 657.035 (-5.01%), IWM 272.24, DIA 513.96, VIXY 20.2199, TLT 81.945

SUBJECT REGN
- 905.06; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT BSX
- 43.39; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT TPR
- 133.35; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT JBHT
- 218.04; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT ALSN
- 116.755; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT VFH
- 139.45; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
2e559877649f [Nov 5, 10:35 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 80 | -1.8% since] VFH -1.02% in 1 min (z -5.79 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT LDOS
- 133.04; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
d967980d4308 [Nov 6, 9:48 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 88 | +0.4% since] LDOS -2.49% in 1 min (z -6.77 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT ULTA
- 646.65; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
bef75be26ea6 [Nov 6, 10:14 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 67 | -0.1% since] ULTA +0.78% in 1 min (z 4.84 after removing SPY's move)
5bcf116dd5f4 [Nov 6, 9:41 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 64 | +0.3% since] ULTA -0.73% in 1 min (z -4.67 after removing SPY's move)
079f2bdb1f50 [Nov 5, 2:09 PM ET | T2 zacks.com | earnings | sev 31] EL's Fiscal 2… [cut: 15,312 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "Market is in the closing window (15:31Z). All intraday positions are scheduled for automatic closure by code before the bell. No new entries are permitted in the closing window without conviction ≥ 8, and none of the setups have fundamental catalysts to justify overnight holds. TNA is held and will be closed by code."
}