Episode · the market · Nov 10, 10:08 AM

NOW: 2026-11-10T15:08Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 81: SIMO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 175.975 above 171.58 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 170.27-171.58.
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 80: ON opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 68.985 above 68.05 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 67.39-68.05.
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 79: APH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 80.835 above 80.62 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 80-80.62.
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 78: SPYG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 115.15 above 114.6 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 114.23-114.6.
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 78: VLUE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 186.79 above 185.54 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 184.93-185.54.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 89: TLN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 362.05 above 358.89 on 5.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 357.69-358.89.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 89: JEPQ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 56.23 above 55.84 on 5.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 55.51-55.84.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 86: PDBC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 18.185 above 18.16 on 5.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 18.12-18.16.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 74: M opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 24.995 above 24.84 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 24.57-24.84.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 73: ECG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 87.24 above 84.07 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 83.42-84.07.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 89: TNGX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 24.175 above 23.58 on 4.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.74-23.58.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 87: STRL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 301.33 above 290.19 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 286.56-290.19.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 86: CMG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 35.8 above 35.75 on 11.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 35.44-35.75.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 86: MYRG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 279.895 above 278.61 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 277.32-278.61.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 86: SYNA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 117.76 above 117.62 on 5.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 117.12-117.62.
- 15:07Z setup, P1, salience 92: EXE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 86.895 above 85.74 on 8.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 84.89-85.74.
- 15:07Z setup, P1, salience 88: GRAL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 127.04 above 124.71 on 4.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 123.94-124.71.
- 15:07Z setup, P1, salience 87: ASST opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 21.23 above 21.15 on 13.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 20.3-21.15.
- 15:07Z setup, P1, salience 76: PENG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 46.795 above 44.93 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 44.03-44.93.
- 15:07Z setup, P1, salience 72: HTFL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 56.91 above 55.87 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 54.96-55.87.
- 15:08Z setup, P1, salience 87: ORA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 93.44 above 93 on 5× its median minute volume today; opening range 92.41-93.
- 15:08Z setup, P1, salience 86: ACI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 12.905 above 12.89 on 6.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 12.81-12.89.
- 15:08Z setup, P1, salience 86: BCE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 21.65 above 21.62 on 5.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 21.45-21.62.
- 15:08Z setup, P1, salience 72: MGK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 86.08 above 85.53 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 85.27-85.53.
- 15:08Z setup, P1, salience 71: SOLS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 63.74 above 63.23 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 62.83-63.23.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $1179.00 · equity $10260.16 (+2.6%) · today +0.41% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 385.78 (0.64%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 4 shares at 136.96, now 144.07 (5.14%), stop 138.44, target 176.97, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: A close below the trailing stop at 137.66 invalidates the bounce thesis and locks in the profit.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 338.65 (11.46%), stop 316.24, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 316.24, invalidating the momentum thesis.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 249.93 (0.47%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.93 (0.32%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 196.84 (-1.07%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's r… [cut: 17,878 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "No new entries: the session is in the closing window (15:08Z ET), and the rules prohibit new entries after the opening buffer in the closing window. All observed breakouts lack confirmed catalysts and are late-day moves; I hold the book as is."
}