Episode · the market · Nov 6, 10:06 AM

NOW: 2026-11-06T15:06Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:02Z setup, P1, salience 89: HESM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 30.27 above 30.04 on 6× its median minute volume today; opening range 29.95-30.04.
- 15:02Z setup, P1, salience 88: XLB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 52.045 above 51.75 on 11.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 51.6-51.75.
- 15:02Z setup, P1, salience 86: LNT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 72.38 above 72.18 on 30.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 71.99-72.18.
- 15:02Z setup, P1, salience 86: NKE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 38.67 above 38.57 on 8.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 38.09-38.57.
- 15:02Z setup, P1, salience 86: OKE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 85.75 above 85.57 on 5.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 85.25-85.57.
- 15:03Z setup, P1, salience 86: SPLV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 76.705 above 76.6 on 6.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 76.29-76.6.
- 15:03Z setup, P1, salience 86: KIM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 25.39 above 25.34 on 9.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 25.26-25.34.
- 15:03Z setup, P1, salience 81: ALGN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 161.075 above 159.97 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 158.15-159.97.
- 15:03Z setup, P1, salience 80: GD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 353.84 above 351.6 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 349.63-351.6.
- 15:03Z setup, P1, salience 77: NRG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 84.68 above 83.98 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 82.46-83.98.
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 87: ALV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 122.05 above 121.67 on 5.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 121.33-121.67.
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 86: SO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 91.88 above 91.68 on 10.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 91.24-91.68.
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 86: URTH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 200.465 above 200.18 on 5.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 199.33-200.18.
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 74: SHAK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 69.845 above 68.48 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 67.67-68.48.
- 15:04Z setup, P1, salience 74: IAU opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 76.1 above 75.93 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 75.77-75.93.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 87: PGX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 9.97 above 9.94 on 5.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 9.93-9.94.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 86: MAS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 82.06 above 81.97 on 8× its median minute volume today; opening range 81.71-81.97.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 85: KWEB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 24.84 above 24.77 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 24.56-24.77.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 84: BRX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 29.675 above 29.62 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 29.53-29.62.
- 15:05Z setup, P1, salience 80: ELS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 62.425 above 62.08 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 61.86-62.08.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 79: POR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 45.47 above 45.38 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 45.13-45.38.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 74: AVAV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 108.645 above 104.02 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 101.89-104.02.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 68: OGE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 50.48 above 50.42 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 50.23-50.42.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 65: ADP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 301.665 above 301.05 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 297.1-301.05.
- 15:06Z setup, P1, salience 65: CEG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 248.82 above 247.93 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 243.68-247.93.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $9795.13 · equity $9900.65 (-0.99%) · today 0% · 1 stocks, 0 options positions
- TNA: 2 shares at 52.95, now 52.74 (-0.37%), stop 51.84, target 55.5, intraday horizon, opened 9:47 AM ET. Thesis: TNA shows the cleanest intraday breakout among the 5 candidates: price closed 53.115 above the 15-min OR high of 52.85 on 5.8× median volume, with a tight 51.84-53.13 range and no negative news. Daily trend is down but RSI 39.7 is not oversold, and the 5-day decline (-7.8%) is modest. Entry at ~53.12, stop at OR low 51.84 (2.4% risk), target 55.50 (4.4% reward, R:R ~1.8). Size 2.5% of equity ($247.50) to keep risk small in a volatile market (-3.5% SPY). Invalidation: Reclaim below 52.85 (OR high) or a broad market selloff accelerating.

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 3/4 entries in 24 h, 1/2 in the last hour, 1/4 open; $884 more can be committed this hour; an entry is 50% of what the risk checks allow; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 24 h after a stop-out or 6 h after an exit.
- Risk checks: at most 25% of equity per position ($2475.16); 1/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (≥ 8 for an overnight buy in the closing window, and none intraday then); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $9597.12 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2475); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders.

MARKET
- SPY 738.805 (-3.64%), QQQ 660.46 (-4.51%), IWM 271.93, DIA 512.65, VIXY 20.08, TLT 81.915

SUBJECT HESM
- 30.095; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT XLB
- 52.005; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT LNT
- 72.5; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT NKE
- 38.69; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT OKE
- 85.7; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
7cdaeabe9e6d [Nov 5, 6:03 PM ET | T2 zacks.com | earnings | sev 51] Sempra's Q3 Earnings Outpace Estimates, Revenues Increase Y/Y (https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/3024798/sempra-s-q3-earnings-outpace-estimates-revenues-increase-y-y?cid=CS-ZC-FT-analyst_blog|earnings_article-3024798)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT SPLV
- 76.81; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT KIM
- 25.43; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT ALGN
- 161.58; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
d45a063b8929 [Nov 6, 9:41 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 57 | +1.0% since] ALGN +1.15% in 1 min (z 4.14 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT GD
- 353.86; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT NRG
- 84.43; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
8cbe265acdf0 [Nov 5, 5:07 PM ET | … [cut: 13,592 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "15:06Z wake during the closing window. SPY is down -3.64% and QQQ down -4.51%, confirming a broad market selloff. The P1 setups are all opening-range breakouts occurring in the final minutes of the session (15:02-15:06Z). Per the brief's rules, intraday positions are closed by code before the bell, and new entries in the closing window are restricted to overnight/multi-day buys with conviction 8 or more. These setups lack fundamental catalysts (news is sparse or unconfirmed) and are occurring in a strong bearish market environment, making conviction low. I will not enter new positions. I will manage my existing TNA position."
}