Episode · the market · Nov 5, 1:47 PM

NOW: 2026-11-05T18:47Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 18:47Z setup, P1, salience 87: RIOT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 14.965 above 14.91 on 6.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 14.37-14.91.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $9896.37 · equity $9896.37 (-1.04%) · today +0% · 0 stocks, 0 options positions
- no stock positions

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 0/4 entries in 24 h, 0/2 in the last hour, 0/4 open; $990 more can be committed this hour; an entry is 50% of what the risk checks allow; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 24 h after a stop-out or 6 h after an exit.
- Risk checks: at most 25% of equity per position ($2474.09); 0/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (≥ 8 for an overnight buy in the closing window, and none intraday then); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $9698.44 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2474); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders.

MARKET
- SPY 736.73 (-2.51%), QQQ 652.39 (-5.52%), IWM 271.43, DIA 516.225, VIXY 20.68, TLT 82.095

SUBJECT RIOT
- 14.965 (bid 13.2, ask 13.22), +11.62% today; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
3f68aa0c08af [Nov 4, 3:08 PM ET | T2 zacks.com | earnings | sev 59 | -4.5% since] Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates (https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/3023280/riot-platforms-inc-riot-q3-earnings-taking-a-look-at-key-metrics-versus-estimates?cid=CS-ZC-FT-fundamental_analysis|nfm-3023280)
> machine summary of the article: Riot Platforms reported Q3 2026 revenue of $181.43 million, beating the $161.46 million estimate by 12.37%, while EPS of $0.01 exceeded the -$0.34 consensus by 102.94%. The company mined 1,637 Bitcoin, surpassing the 1,628 estimate from four analysts. Shares have returned -25.9% over the past month, and the stock holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
</untrusted>

YOUR NOTES
- [MARKET, 2026-11-05T16:01Z] All 18 P1 setups are opening-range breakouts or new session highs occurring in the closing window (15:57-16:01Z) with no fundamental catalysts in our feeds. Conviction is low due to lack of news and the closing window environment. No new entries.
- [MARKET, 2026-11-04T21:10Z] Market closed higher (SPY +1.48%). No positions held. Ready for tomorrow's open to look for setups.
- [MARKET, 2026-11-04T20:40Z] Closing window (20:40Z). All intraday positions (BUG, SNX) will be closed by code. No new entries permitted by envelope (3/4 in 24h, 0/2 in last hour, but closing window rules and prior fullness apply). No new entries.
- [MARKET, 2026-11-04T16:19Z] Closing window (16:18Z). All intraday positions will be closed by code. No new entries permitted by envelope (4/4 in 24h).
- [MARKET, 2026-11-03T16:53Z] Closing window. All setups are opening-range breakouts with no fundamental catalysts. No new entries. Positions closed by code if any existed (none held).

YOUR WATCHES
- 3660af25-b700-4bd3-b441-bd87fc7128b8: NVD below 4.89, until 2026-11-06T15:07Z. Note: NVD breakout setup. Watch for retest of 4.89 (OR high). No news catalyst found in last 24h.

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [
    {
      "kind": "price_below",
      "symbol": "RIOT",
      "level": 14.37,
      "at": "2026-11-06T15:00Z",
      "hours": 24,
      "priority": "review",
      "note": "OR low 14.37. Breakout failed if price reclaims below 14.37; review for potential short or wait for retest of 14.91-15.03 range."
    }
  ],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "RIOT broke its 15-min opening range (14.37-14.91) to 14.965 on heavy volume (+11.62%) following Q3 earnings beat (Nov 4). However, the move occurred in the closing window (18:47Z) with no new catalysts today, and price is below key SMAs (20/50/200). Conviction is low due to lack of fresh news and closing window timing. No new entries. Watch for retest of 14.37 OR low."
}