Episode · the market · Nov 9, 2:47 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T19:47Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 19:43Z setup, P1, salience 87: LUV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 47 above 46.8 on 9.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 46.32-46.8.
- 19:43Z setup, P1, salience 86: IAUM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 41.21 above 41.14 on 38.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 41-41.14.
- 19:43Z setup, P1, salience 86: RPM new session high: closed 107.75 above 107.48 on 22.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 103.95-105.08.
- 19:43Z setup, P1, salience 86: IAU new session high: closed 77.725 above 77.64 on 17.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 77.35-77.55.
- 19:43Z setup, P1, salience 85: WOLF new session high: closed 26.5 above 26.41 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 24.2-25.14.
- 19:44Z setup, P1, salience 78: TXG new session high: closed 65.61 above 65.54 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 60.3-62.52.
- 19:44Z setup, P1, salience 72: PPG new session high: closed 126.7 above 126.25 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 124.47-125.56.
- 19:44Z setup, P1, salience 65: SF new session high: closed 73.745 above 73.64 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 71.74-71.74.
- 19:45Z setup, P1, salience 80: FND new session high: closed 54.29 above 54.04 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 52.41-53.75.
- 19:45Z setup, P1, salience 78: BB new session high: closed 9.17 above 9.15 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 8.7-8.79.
- 19:45Z setup, P1, salience 64: VOYA new session high: closed 104.73 above 104.45 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 100.77-100.85.
- 19:46Z setup, P1, salience 87: PCG new session high: closed 13.26 above 13.2 on 8.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 12.95-13.05.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10102.00 (+1.02%) · today +2.01% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.675 (2.84%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 384.15 (-0.09%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 140.5 (2.57%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 323.17 (6.27%), stop 287.16, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 248.84 (0.02%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.76 (0.21%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 198.78 (-0.11%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 753.585 (0.80%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.255 (-1.32%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 140.85 (-2.08%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 352.56 (-0.01%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. … [cut: 13,407 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 19:47Z ET (after hours). The regular session has closed, and the closing window has passed. No new entries are permitted. All existing positions are held as per the book."
}