Episode · the market · Nov 9, 1:07 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T18:07Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 18:03Z setup, P1, salience 87: UNH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 398.825 above 397.33 on 7.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 394.75-397.33.
- 18:03Z setup, P1, salience 77: VTR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 89.52 above 89.33 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 88.71-89.33.
- 18:03Z setup, P1, salience 74: CCK new session high: closed 123.92 above 123.77 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 122.22-122.22.
- 18:03Z setup, P1, salience 74: WCN new session high: closed 189.775 above 189.58 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 188.72-189.
- 18:03Z setup, P1, salience 74: WRBY new session high: closed 31.46 above 31.4 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 25.73-28.62.
- 18:04Z setup, P1, salience 65: CASY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 687.43 above 686.05 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 686.05-686.05.
- 18:05Z setup, P1, salience 69: M new session high: closed 25.13 above 25.09 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 23.72-24.86.
- 18:06Z setup, P1, salience 86: APH new session high: closed 80.45 above 80.35 on 7.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 75.74-76.85.
- 18:06Z setup, P1, salience 77: WING opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 174.76 above 174.46 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 169.73-174.46.
- 18:06Z setup, P1, salience 75: FNB new session high: closed 18.415 above 18.39 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 18.08-18.2.
- 18:06Z setup, P1, salience 71: CCI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 89.19 above 89.05 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 88.6-89.05.
- 18:06Z setup, P1, salience 69: BURL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 254.11 above 253.84 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 249.88-253.84.
- 18:07Z setup, P1, salience 86: TMUS new session high: closed 168.57 above 168.4 on 5.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 161.72-164.39.
- 18:07Z setup, P1, salience 74: LAMR new session high: closed 160.78 above 160.49 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 157.72-157.72.
- 18:07Z setup, P1, salience 72: BOIL new session high: closed 18.455 above 18.37 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 17.86-18.04.
- 18:07Z setup, P1, salience 67: WING new session high: closed 175.03 above 174.76 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 169.73-174.46.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10067.31 (+0.67%) · today +1.66% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.97 (3.23%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.43 (1.49%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 139.615 (1.79%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 311.255 (2.35%), stop 287.16, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252.79 (1.62%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.83 (0.23%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 198.18 (-0.58%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 752.36 (0.64%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.51 (-0.91%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 143.92 (0.13%), stop 115.75, target none, L… [cut: 13,547 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [
    {
      "subject": "MARKET",
      "text": "Closing window (17:00-18:00 ET) is active. No new entries allowed. All observed setups (UNH, VTR, CCK, WCN, WRBY, CASY, M, APH, WING, FNB, CCI, BURL, TMUS, LAMR, BOIL) are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts (news absent or unconfirmed anomalies). Book holds 11 stocks; no exits triggered. Cash $239.54."
    }
  ],
  "reply": "Closing window is active; no new entries allowed. All observed setups lack confirmed catalysts. Book holds 11 stocks with no exits triggered."
}