Episode · the market · Nov 6, 11:11 AM

NOW: 2026-11-06T16:11Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 16:06Z setup, P1, salience 86: RAL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 64.57 above 64.45 on 5.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 63.51-64.45.
- 16:06Z setup, P1, salience 68: UGL new session high: closed 43.105 above 43.02 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 42.49-42.63.
- 16:06Z setup, P1, salience 65: IEF opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 91.91 above 91.81 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 91.73-91.81.
- 16:07Z setup, P1, salience 86: FWONK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 105.5 above 105.2 on 5.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 104.53-105.2.
- 16:07Z setup, P1, salience 86: MNST opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 46.1 above 46 on 10.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 45.02-46.
- 16:07Z setup, P1, salience 73: AWI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 169.64 above 167.69 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 167.69-167.69.
- 16:07Z setup, P1, salience 72: IRON new session high: closed 79.29 above 79.07 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 78.21-78.21.
- 16:07Z setup, P1, salience 70: HXL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 80.46 above 80.11 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 80.11-80.11.
- 16:08Z setup, P1, salience 91: SITE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 112.54 above 111.16 on 5× its median minute volume today; opening range 110.09-111.16.
- 16:08Z setup, P1, salience 86: KVYO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 20.67 above 20.61 on 8.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 20.13-20.61.
- 16:08Z setup, P1, salience 86: BIV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 74.49 above 74.41 on 6× its median minute volume today; opening range 74.37-74.41.
- 16:08Z setup, P1, salience 84: VTEB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 49.26 above 49.21 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 49.13-49.21.
- 16:08Z setup, P1, salience 80: PCTY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 178.05 above 176.66 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 161.05-176.66.
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 88: MUZ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 13.12 above 12.95 on 4.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 12.24-12.95.
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 86: GDXJ new session high: closed 105.72 above 105.58 on 7× its median minute volume today; opening range 102.79-104.22.
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 86: ELAN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 25.13 above 25.01 on 4.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 24.05-25.01.
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 85: BAX new session high: closed 25.58 above 25.52 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 24.92-25.2.
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 85: TFX new session high: closed 150.95 above 150.79 on 5× its median minute volume today; opening range 147.5-148.52.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 83: FERG new session high: closed 235.11 above 234.67 on 4.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 232.26-233.89.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 70: TYL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 418.55 above 418.1 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 417.86-418.1.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 69: MANH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 253.33 above 252.02 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 252.02-252.02.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 66: CPAY new session high: closed 450.83 above 449.17 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 431.77-443.66.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 62: ADP new session high: closed 303.74 above 303.41 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 297.1-301.05.
- 16:11Z setup, P1, salience 86: JHX new session high: closed 28.08 above 28.03 on 5.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 26.59-27.72.
- 16:11Z setup, P1, salience 71: IONS new session high: closed 39.445 above 39.38 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 38.69-39.
- 16:11Z setup, P1, salience 66: FLR new session high: closed 45.56 above 45.43 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 43.06-44.5.
- 16:11Z setup, P1, salience 66: GEHC new session high: closed 83.09 above 82.98 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 81.94-82.36.
- 16:11Z setup, P1, salience 65: CPRT new session high: closed 32.065 above 32.03 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 31.31-31.51.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $9901.35 · equity $9901.35 (-0.99%) · today +0% · 0 stocks, 0 options positions
- no stock positions

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 3/4 entries in 24 h, 0/2 in the last hour, 0/4 open; $990 more can be committed this hour; an entry is 50% of what the risk checks allow; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 24 h after a stop-out or 6 h after an exit.
- Risk checks: at most 25% of equity per position ($2475.34); 0/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (≥ 8 for an overnight buy in the closing window, and none intraday then); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $9703.32 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2475); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders.

MARKET
- SPY 739.36 (-3.57%), QQQ 658.38 (-4.81%), IWM 272.81, DIA 515.08, VIXY 20.19, TLT 82.1399

SUBJECT RAL
- 64.88; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT UGL
- 43.165; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT IEF
- 91.92; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT FWONK
- 105.7; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT MNST
- 46.195; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
72470a037f02 [Nov 5, 4:33 PM ET | T1 sec.gov | earnings | sev 60] MNST 8-K: 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition; 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/865752/000110465926123387/0001104659-26-123387-index.htm)
195d93a830cc [Nov 5, 6:12 PM ET | T2 benzinga.com | earnings | sev 51] Monster Beverage Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (https://www.benzinga.com/news/26/11/62960816/monster-beverage-q3-2026-earnings-call-transcript)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT AWI
- 169.64; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT IRON
- 79.265; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
097ee09bd473 [Nov 5, 5:21 PM ET | T1 sec.gov | offering | sev 65] IRON 424B5: Disc Medicine, Inc. (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1816736/000119312526450184/0001193125-26-450184-index.htm)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT HXL
- 80.495; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT SITE
- 112.62; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT KVYO
- 20.665; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT BIV
- 74.48; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT VTEB
- 49.26; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in… [cut: 15,976 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "SPY and QQQ are down sharply (-3.57%, -4.81%), yet the screen flagged 25+ P1 setups (opening-range breakouts and new session highs) across the list. These are intraday momentum breakouts occurring in a strong headwind. Without specific catalysts for most, and given the broad market weakness, these are likely false breakouts or short-lived spikes. I will not buy into the noise. I will hold cash and wait for a clearer market direction or a setup with a fundamental catalyst (like MNST, PCTY, ELAN, CPAY, JHX, FLR) to evaluate after the dust settles."
}