Episode · the market · Nov 10, 10:58 AM

NOW: 2026-11-10T15:58Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:54Z setup, P1, salience 85: ZBH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 108.63 above 108.51 on 4.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 108.03-108.51.
- 15:55Z setup, P1, salience 86: GPC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 124.94 above 124.57 on 26.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 124.57-124.57.
- 15:55Z setup, P1, salience 70: ACI new session high: closed 13.005 above 12.97 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 12.81-12.89.
- 15:56Z setup, P1, salience 78: WTW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 329.18 above 328.17 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 326.53-328.17.
- 15:56Z setup, P1, salience 70: TTD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 15.16 above 15.11 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 14.57-15.11.
- 15:56Z setup, P1, salience 63: KDP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 37.04 above 36.98 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 36.78-36.98.
- 15:57Z setup, P1, salience 71: GWW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 1453.82 above 1451.73 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 1443.4-1451.73.
- 15:57Z setup, P1, salience 65: DUK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 128.44 above 128.28 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 127.38-128.28.
- 15:57Z setup, P1, salience 65: GFL new session high: closed 41.96 above 41.9 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 40.84-41.38.
- 15:57Z setup, P1, salience 64: ALC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 75.12 above 75.04 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 74.62-75.04.
- 15:58Z setup, P1, salience 70: ZETA new session high: closed 35.12 above 34.85 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 31.57-33.01.
- 15:58Z setup, P1, salience 66: VDE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 171.16 above 169.44 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 168.51-169.44.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3447.57 · equity $10211.10 (+2.11%) · today -0.07% · 9 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 385.62 (0.56%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 247.28 (-0.61%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.12 (0.42%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 193.71 (-2.64%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.455 (-0.53%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 747.575 (-0.03%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 50.23 (-5.21%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 140.15 (-2.47%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 345.69 (-1.90%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 0/3 in the last hour, 1/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2552.78). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 3/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $3243.35 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2553); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; overnight and multi-day ones stay. Stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders, and once a position is up by its stop distance code trails its stop at that… [cut: 14,198 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 15:58Z, inside the closing window (17:00-18:00 ET). Per the rules, no new entries are allowed in the closing window. All observed setups are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts. Book holds 9 stocks; no exits triggered. Cash $3447.57."
}