Episode · the market · Nov 10, 11:43 AM

NOW: 2026-11-10T16:43Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 16:39Z setup, P1, salience 90: SIG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 119.01 above 117.79 on 11.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 117.79-117.79.
- 16:39Z setup, P1, salience 71: AVLV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 93.49 above 93.28 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 93.18-93.28.
- 16:40Z setup, P1, salience 71: SU new session high: closed 67.85 above 67.77 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 65.71-66.48.
- 16:40Z setup, P1, salience 67: NI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 45.06 above 44.97 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 44.71-44.97.
- 16:40Z setup, P1, salience 63: UNG new session high: closed 10.265 above 10.25 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 10.16-10.2.
- 16:41Z setup, P1, salience 86: MUSA new session high: closed 517.97 above 517 on 5.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 504.83-512.05.
- 16:41Z setup, P1, salience 80: DOW new session high: closed 30.9 above 30.73 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 29.67-30.15.
- 16:41Z setup, P1, salience 70: VRSK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 201.93 above 199.64 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 197.65-199.64.
- 16:41Z setup, P1, salience 63: CSL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 394.51 above 394 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 392.36-394.
- 16:42Z setup, P1, salience 65: TAP new session high: closed 39.79 above 39.74 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 39.27-39.58.
- 16:43Z setup, P1, salience 86: BP new session high: closed 44.26 above 44.21 on 26.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 43.39-43.8.
- 16:43Z setup, P1, salience 71: FR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 54.74 above 54.64 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 54.64-54.64.
- 16:43Z setup, P1, salience 67: ANF new session high: closed 156.595 above 156.07 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 149.97-151.99.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3447.57 · equity $10219.42 (+2.19%) · today +0.01% · 9 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 390.17 (1.66%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 250.45 (0.74%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.04 (0.33%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 191.37 (-3.80%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.405 (-0.74%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 746.73 (-0.12%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 49.895 (-5.82%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 141.84 (-1.31%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 350.34 (-0.54%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 0/3 in the last hour, 1/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2554.86). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 3/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $3243.18 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2555); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; overnight and multi-day ones stay. Stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders, and once… [cut: 12,685 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 16:43Z ET, inside the closing window (17:00-18:00 ET). Per the rules, no new entries are allowed in the closing window. All observed setups lack confirmed catalysts or have unconfirmed news anomalies, and even if they didn't, the time restriction prohibits buying. No positions in the book require an exit."
}