Episode · the market · Oct 29, 3:55 PM

NOW: 2026-10-29T19:55Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 19:51Z setup, P1, salience 90: FROG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 98.62 above 97.74 on 7.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 97.74-97.74.
- 19:51Z setup, P1, salience 90: TSEM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 186.67 above 184.96 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 184.96-184.96.
- 19:51Z setup, P1, salience 88: DDOG new session high: closed 264.46 above 263.11 on 6.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 261.88-261.88.
- 19:51Z setup, P1, salience 87: CRWD new session high: closed 259.775 above 258.82 on 9.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 257.69-257.69.
- 19:51Z setup, P1, salience 87: BTE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 5.36 above 5.34 on 22.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 5.34-5.34.
- 19:52Z setup, P1, salience 88: USO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 168.18 above 167.34 on 6× its median minute volume today; opening range 167.34-167.34.
- 19:52Z setup, P1, salience 88: RMBS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 90.56 above 89.54 on 4.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 89.54-89.54.
- 19:52Z setup, P1, salience 87: UCO new session high: closed 66.83 above 66.55 on 9.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 66.46-66.46.
- 19:52Z setup, P1, salience 86: FNDX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 32.84 above 32.78 on 10.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 32.78-32.78.
- 19:52Z setup, P1, salience 86: TT new session high: closed 432.17 above 431.61 on 6.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 428.99-428.99.
- 19:53Z setup, P1, salience 87: ONC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 370.615 above 369.25 on 7.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 369.25-369.25.
- 19:53Z setup, P1, salience 87: PGX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 9.86 above 9.83 on 13.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 9.83-9.83.
- 19:53Z setup, P1, salience 86: PR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 25.475 above 25.44 on 6.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 25.44-25.44.
- 19:53Z setup, P1, salience 86: EWW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 74.34 above 74.25 on 5.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 74.25-74.25.
- 19:53Z setup, P1, salience 86: QQQI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 53.38 above 53.23 on 5.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 53.23-53.23.
- 19:54Z setup, P1, salience 87: EXLS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 41.12 above 40.98 on 39.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 40.98-40.98.
- 19:54Z setup, P1, salience 86: JLL new session high: closed 351.47 above 350.85 on 7.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 349.58-349.58.
- 19:54Z setup, P1, salience 86: ARM new session high: closed 227.84 above 227.58 on 5.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 226.43-226.43.
- 19:54Z setup, P1, salience 86: PGX new session high: closed 9.87 above 9.86 on 15.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 9.83-9.83.
- 19:54Z setup, P1, salience 86: DUOL new session high: closed 135.455 above 135.15 on 6× its median minute volume today; opening range 133.76-133.76.
- 19:55Z setup, P1, salience 88: ANF opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 165.815 above 164.98 on 16.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 164.98-164.98.
- 19:55Z setup, P1, salience 87: SPCH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 8.7 above 8.67 on 9.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 8.67-8.67.
- 19:55Z setup, P1, salience 86: ZION opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 66.19 above 66.12 on 5.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 66.12-66.12.
- 19:55Z setup, P1, salience 86: DLTR new session high: closed 132.36 above 132.1 on 7.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 131.56-131.56.
- 19:55Z setup, P1, salience 86: CBOE new session high: closed 314.18 above 313.79 on 5.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 313.22-313.22.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $2774.55 · equity $10000.56 (+0.01%) · today -0.23% · 4 stocks, 0 options positions
- DIA: 4 shares at 522.89, now 522.345 (-0.10%), stop 483.7, target 620.9, multi_day horizon, opened 9:49 AM ET. Thesis: DIA at 522.89 sits above sma20 517.45 and sma50 522.26 with +1.97% 20-day return; only qualifying swing ETF per CONTEXT. 7.5% stop at 483.67, 2.5R target 620.94. Invalidation: Daily close below sma50 522.26
- IWM: 6 shares at 285.08, now 283.73 (-0.48%), stop 277.5, target 300, multi_day horizon, opened 11:35 AM ET. Thesis: IWM 284.99 holds above daily sma20 (277.55) and sma50 (284.66) with +1.31% today. 5m trend up, holding VWAP (283.93). Daily invalidation is a close below sma20. Stop at 277.50 (2.6% risk), target 300.00 (5.3% reward), R:R 2.0. Conviction 7. Invalidation: Daily close below sma20 277.55
- SOFI: 64 shares at 17.37, now 17.605 (1.38%), stop 16.95, target 18.2, multi_day horizon, opened 9:45 AM ET. Thesis: Breakout above daily sma20 (15.36) and 5-min opening range high (17.18) on volume. Holding above VWAP (17.04). Q3 beat and raised 2027 guidance support multi-day follow-through. R:R 2.25. Invalidation: Daily close below VWAP 17.04 or 5-min swing low 16.88
- SPY: 3 shares at 767.06, now 769.135 (0.27%), stop 710.6, target 912.2, multi_day horizon, opened 9:49 AM ET. Thesis: SPY 768.19 is the owner's stated reference broad index; near sma50 767.49 despite slight sma20 discount. 7.5% stop 710.58, 2.5R target 912.22. Invalidation: Daily close below sma50 767.49

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the closing window. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 3/4 entries in 24 h, 0/2 in the last hour, 0/4 open; $1000 more can be committed this hour; an entry is 50% of what the risk checks allow; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 24 h after a stop-out or 6 h after an exit.
- Risk checks: at most 25% of equity per position ($2500.14); 4/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (≥ 8 for an overnight buy in the closing window, and none intraday then); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $2574.54 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2500); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders.

MARKET
- SPY 769.135 (-0.41%), QQQ 714.81 (-1.49%), IWM 283.73 (+0.86%), DIA 522.345 (-0.44%), VIXY 16.71, TLT 81.46

SUBJECT FROG
- 98.56; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT TSEM
- 186.585; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
4750d0a80f3b [Oct 29, 11:10 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 65 | -2.1% since] TSEM +1.18% in 1 min (z 4.76 after removing SPY's move)
ae4d99212a1c [Oct 29, 12:13 PM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 63 | -2.2% since] TSEM -1.09% in 1 min (z -4.55 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT DDOG
- 264.33; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT CRWD
- 259.89; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT BTE
- 5.365; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT USO
- 168.22; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
ef2284683c57 [Oct 29, 10… [cut: 11,731 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 19:55Z, the closing window. I have no new buys to initiate. I will hold my existing positions (DIA, IWM, SOFI, SPY) and let the code manage the intraday exits for any new positions I might have considered, but since I am not buying, I simply hold the book. The setups flagged (FROG, TSEM, etc.) are rejected as they are outside the allowed window for new entries or lack sufficient conviction/news confirmation for the closing window."
}