Episode · the market · Nov 6, 9:51 AM

NOW: 2026-11-06T14:51Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 14:47Z setup, P1, salience 95: TWST opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 129.88 above 124.16 on 7.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 119.91-124.16.
- 14:47Z setup, P1, salience 90: ARKG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 45.355 above 44.92 on 18.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 43.96-44.92.
- 14:47Z setup, P1, salience 90: TXG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 61.27 above 60.61 on 10.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 55.82-60.61.
- 14:47Z setup, P1, salience 88: EQIX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 1014.38 above 1008.04 on 5.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 999.93-1008.04.
- 14:47Z setup, P1, salience 87: PSLV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 16.82 above 16.75 on 9.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 16.64-16.75.
- 14:48Z setup, P1, salience 90: RDW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 6.61 above 6.55 on 9.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 6.18-6.55.
- 14:48Z setup, P1, salience 87: SOXQ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 75.5 above 75.17 on 6.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 73.97-75.17.
- 14:48Z setup, P1, salience 86: BAI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 34.57 above 34.4 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 33.77-34.4.
- 14:48Z setup, P1, salience 86: VO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 79.58 above 79.47 on 5.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 78.98-79.47.
- 14:48Z setup, P1, salience 86: VYM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 159.535 above 159.25 on 5.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 158.49-159.25.
- 14:49Z setup, P1, salience 90: UDOW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 63.51 above 62.85 on 11.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 62.01-62.85.
- 14:49Z setup, P1, salience 87: RTX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 190.09 above 189.38 on 10.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 187.81-189.38.
- 14:49Z setup, P1, salience 87: ECHO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 94.005 above 93.59 on 7.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 91.47-93.59.
- 14:49Z setup, P1, salience 87: SHEL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 99.16 above 98.81 on 6.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 98.36-98.81.
- 14:49Z setup, P1, salience 86: MGK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 84.63 above 84.44 on 5.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 83.91-84.44.
- 14:50Z setup, P1, salience 91: GFS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 38.595 above 38.17 on 7.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 37.28-38.17.
- 14:50Z setup, P1, salience 87: TAN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 45.35 above 45.15 on 7.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 44.36-45.15.
- 14:50Z setup, P1, salience 87: SIVR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 49.37 above 49.13 on 6× its median minute volume today; opening range 48.78-49.13.
- 14:50Z setup, P1, salience 86: FCX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 59.35 above 59.23 on 9.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 58.39-59.23.
- 14:50Z setup, P1, salience 86: SBUX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 104.195 above 104.06 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 102.76-104.06.
- 14:51Z setup, P1, salience 91: FN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 320.075 above 316.16 on 18.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 304.13-316.16.
- 14:51Z setup, P1, salience 87: QYLD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 17.29 above 17.23 on 6.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 17.12-17.23.
- 14:51Z setup, P1, salience 87: IR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 82.2 above 81.86 on 6.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 81.08-81.86.
- 14:51Z setup, P1, salience 87: NTNX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 59.57 above 59.33 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 58.88-59.33.
- 14:51Z setup, P1, salience 86: ALNY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 156.795 above 156.57 on 7.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 154.75-156.57.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $9795.13 · equity $9901.45 (-0.99%) · today +0% · 1 stocks, 0 options positions
- TNA: 2 shares at 52.95, now 53.17 (0.39%), stop 51.84, target 55.5, intraday horizon, opened 9:47 AM ET. Thesis: TNA shows the cleanest intraday breakout among the 5 candidates: price closed 53.115 above the 15-min OR high of 52.85 on 5.8× median volume, with a tight 51.84-53.13 range and no negative news. Daily trend is down but RSI 39.7 is not oversold, and the 5-day decline (-7.8%) is modest. Entry at ~53.12, stop at OR low 51.84 (2.4% risk), target 55.50 (4.4% reward, R:R ~1.8). Size 2.5% of equity ($247.50) to keep risk small in a volatile market (-3.5% SPY). Invalidation: Reclaim below 52.85 (OR high) or a broad market selloff accelerating.

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 3/4 entries in 24 h, 1/2 in the last hour, 1/4 open; $884 more can be committed this hour; an entry is 50% of what the risk checks allow; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 24 h after a stop-out or 6 h after an exit.
- Risk checks: at most 25% of equity per position ($2475.36); 1/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (≥ 8 for an overnight buy in the closing window, and none intraday then); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $9597.1 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2475); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders.

MARKET
- SPY 741.275 (-3.32%), QQQ 663.865 (-4.02%), IWM 272.68, DIA 513.87, VIXY 19.8, TLT 81.745

SUBJECT TWST
- 128.87; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
f49f7bde040a [Nov 6, 9:46 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 88 | -0.3% since] TWST +4.50% in 1 min (z 9.21 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT ARKG
- 45.2; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT TXG
- 59.94; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
c85d2d4262c6 [Nov 5, 4:08 PM ET | T1 sec.gov | earnings | sev 60] TXG 8-K: 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1770787/000162828026071025/0001628280-26-071025-index.htm)
4e1b977b2373 [Nov 5, 6:02 PM ET | T2 prnewswire.com | guidance | sev 55] 10x Genomics Reports Q3 2026 Financial Results and Raises Full-Year Revenue Guidance (https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/10x-genomics-reports-third-quarter-2026-financial-results-302931240.html)
> machine summary of the article: 10x Genomics reported third quarter 2026 revenue of $150.7 million, a 1% increase from the prior year period. The company raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $625 million to $635 million. CEO Serge Saxonov highlighted the start of commercial shipments for the Atera platform and strength in consumables.
</untrusted>

SUBJECT EQIX
- 1013.45; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT PSLV
- 16.85; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the … [cut: 12,996 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [
    {
      "symbol": "TNA",
      "action": "hold",
      "allocation_pct": 0,
      "sell_pct": 0,
      "stop_loss": 0,
      "take_profit": 0,
      "horizon": "intraday",
      "setup": "hedge",
      "conviction": 6,
      "rationale": "TNA is up 0.43% with stop at 51.84 and target 55.5. No new catalysts or invalidation. Intraday horizon, will let it run to target or stop.",
      "evidence": [
        "TNA: 53.18, stop 51.84, target 55.5"
      ],
      "invalidation": "Price drops below 51.84 or broad market selloff accelerates.",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    }
  ],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "Holding TNA as it remains within its intraday range with no new invalidation. No new entries due to broad market selloff (-3.32% SPY) and lack of strong catalysts for the P1 setups."
}