Episode · the market · Nov 9, 3:23 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T20:23Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 20:18Z setup, P1, salience 86: CTRE new session high: closed 38.855 above 38.76 on 17.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 38.41-38.69.
- 20:19Z setup, P1, salience 86: ECG new session high: closed 84.695 above 84.52 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 80.25-80.25.
- 20:19Z setup, P1, salience 76: XLC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 107.64 above 107.4 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 106.37-107.4.
- 20:20Z setup, P1, salience 88: METU opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 23.61 above 23.47 on 11.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.89-23.47.
- 20:21Z setup, P1, salience 87: UPST new session high: closed 22.625 above 22.52 on 5.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 21.83-22.06.
- 20:21Z setup, P1, salience 87: SANM new session high: closed 150.22 above 149.48 on 6× its median minute volume today; opening range 138.89-140.86.
- 20:21Z setup, P1, salience 72: ONTO new session high: closed 195 above 194.55 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 180-184.67.
- 20:21Z setup, P1, salience 70: ASND new session high: closed 258.265 above 257.77 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 255.08-255.17.
- 20:21Z setup, P1, salience 64: META new session high: closed 646.87 above 646.09 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 631.26-643.9.
- 20:22Z setup, P1, salience 86: PLTR new session high: closed 170.505 above 170.32 on 12× its median minute volume today; opening range 162.5-166.15.
- 20:22Z setup, P1, salience 86: GL new session high: closed 161.58 above 161.32 on 6.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 159-159.64.
- 20:22Z setup, P1, salience 86: USHY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 35.805 above 35.77 on 5.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 35.71-35.77.
- 20:22Z setup, P1, salience 80: HYG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 77.55 above 77.47 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 77.4-77.47.
- 20:22Z setup, P1, salience 69: DY new session high: closed 219.61 above 219.2 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 210.56-214.32.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10180.02 (+1.8%) · today +2.8% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.85 (2.96%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 386.54 (0.73%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 142.53 (4.13%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 330.45 (8.71%), stop 310.39, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 250.47 (0.68%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.9 (0.30%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 200.39 (0.74%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 755.165 (1.00%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.39 (-1.09%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 141.3 (-1.60%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day a… [cut: 14,044 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 20:23Z ET, well past the 18:00 ET closing window. The rules prohibit new entries during the closing window and after the session close. No positions in the book require exits or adjustments. No action taken."
}