Episode · the market · Oct 29, 3:45 PM

NOW: 2026-10-29T19:45Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 19:41Z setup, P1, salience 95: PI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 181.735 above 175.27 on 10.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 175.27-175.27.
- 19:41Z setup, P1, salience 88: WPM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 122.71 above 121.93 on 7.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 121.93-121.93.
- 19:41Z setup, P1, salience 88: FERG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 239.13 above 237.63 on 5× its median minute volume today; opening range 237.63-237.63.
- 19:41Z setup, P1, salience 86: CNH new session high: closed 11.37 above 11.36 on 6.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 11.3-11.3.
- 19:41Z setup, P1, salience 86: EFX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 178.645 above 178.16 on 5.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 178.16-178.16.
- 19:42Z setup, P1, salience 86: BITX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 18.06 above 18.01 on 7.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 18.01-18.01.
- 19:42Z setup, P1, salience 86: METU opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 22.51 above 22.45 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.45-22.45.
- 19:42Z setup, P1, salience 82: VLTO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 103.54 above 103.17 on 4.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 103.17-103.17.
- 19:42Z setup, P1, salience 79: SHW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 329.52 above 328.66 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 328.66-328.66.
- 19:42Z setup, P1, salience 73: ETHU opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 22.4 above 22.23 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.23-22.23.
- 19:43Z setup, P1, salience 86: IBKR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 81.49 above 81.31 on 8.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 81.31-81.31.
- 19:43Z setup, P1, salience 86: RTX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 199.98 above 199.7 on 5.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 199.7-199.7.
- 19:43Z setup, P1, salience 86: INDA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 47.43 above 47.38 on 8× its median minute volume today; opening range 47.38-47.38.
- 19:43Z setup, P1, salience 84: GL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 160.01 above 159.84 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 159.84-159.84.
- 19:43Z setup, P1, salience 83: IQV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 274.21 above 273.31 on 4.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 273.31-273.31.
- 19:44Z setup, P1, salience 88: HUM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 412.17 above 410.11 on 19.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 410.11-410.11.
- 19:44Z setup, P1, salience 87: ALNY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 177.66 above 177.04 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 177.04-177.04.
- 19:44Z setup, P1, salience 87: TTAN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 80.84 above 80.54 on 5.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 80.54-80.54.
- 19:44Z setup, P1, salience 86: WCN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 181.38 above 181.12 on 11.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 181.12-181.12.
- 19:44Z setup, P1, salience 86: MU opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 930.4 above 928.14 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 928.14-928.14.
- 19:45Z setup, P1, salience 87: FDS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 318.65 above 317.6 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 317.6-317.6.
- 19:45Z setup, P1, salience 86: CTVA new session high: closed 11.47 above 11.46 on 5.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 11.44-11.44.
- 19:45Z setup, P1, salience 86: FFIV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 360.66 above 359.86 on 6.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 359.86-359.86.
- 19:45Z setup, P1, salience 86: AN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 169.97 above 169.54 on 13.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 169.54-169.54.
- 19:45Z setup, P1, salience 76: XLP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 88.18 above 88.09 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 88.09-88.09.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $2249.77 · equity $9996.34 (-0.04%) · today -0.27% · 7 stocks, 0 options positions
- AHR: 4 shares at 53.02, now 53.05 (0.00%), stop 51.89, target 55.5, intraday horizon, opened 1:35 PM ET. Thesis: AHR closed 53.02 above its 52.90 session high on 8.5x median volume, a strong P1 breakout. Price holds above VWAP (52.65) and EMAs. Invalidation: Close below opening range low 51.89. Target 55.50 offers ~4.5% reward vs ~2.1% risk. Invalidation: Daily close below 51.89 or 5-min swing low 51.89 (ORL)
- DIA: 4 shares at 522.89, now 522.03 (-0.16%), stop 483.7, target 620.9, multi_day horizon, opened 9:49 AM ET. Thesis: DIA at 522.89 sits above sma20 517.45 and sma50 522.26 with +1.97% 20-day return; only qualifying swing ETF per CONTEXT. 7.5% stop at 483.67, 2.5R target 620.94. Invalidation: Daily close below sma50 522.26
- EPD: 3 shares at 38.87, now 39.165 (0.77%), stop 38.29, target 40, intraday horizon, opened 2:37 PM ET. Thesis: EPD 38.89 broke above ORL 38.84 on 4.3× volume with Q3 earnings (T1) and positive call transcript (T2). Daily trend up (SMA20/50/200 bullish), RSI 66.5, price above VWAP 38.72. ORL low 38.56 as stop (1.5% risk). Target 40.00 (2.9% reward) offers >1.2 R:R. Strongest risk profile among candidates. Invalidation: Close below ORL low 38.56 or stop 38.29.
- IWM: 6 shares at 285.08, now 283.39 (-0.60%), stop 277.5, target 300, multi_day horizon, opened 11:35 AM ET. Thesis: IWM 284.99 holds above daily sma20 (277.55) and sma50 (284.66) with +1.31% today. 5m trend up, holding VWAP (283.93). Daily invalidation is a close below sma20. Stop at 277.50 (2.6% risk), target 300.00 (5.3% reward), R:R 2.0. Conviction 7. Invalidation: Daily close below sma20 277.55
- SOFI: 64 shares at 17.37, now 17.445 (0.43%), stop 16.95, target 18.2, multi_day horizon, opened 9:45 AM ET. Thesis: Breakout above daily sma20 (15.36) and 5-min opening range high (17.18) on volume. Holding above VWAP (17.04). Q3 beat and raised 2027 guidance support multi-day follow-through. R:R 2.25. Invalidation: Daily close below VWAP 17.04 or 5-min swing low 16.88
- SPY: 3 shares at 767.06, now 768.05 (0.13%), stop 710.6, target 912.2, multi_day horizon, opened 9:49 AM ET. Thesis: SPY 768.19 is the owner's stated reference broad index; near sma50 767.49 despite slight sma20 discount. 7.5% stop 710.58, 2.5R target 912.22. Invalidation: Daily close below sma50 767.49
- TEVA: 5 shares at 41.47, now 41.615 (0.29%), stop 40.78, target 43.5, intraday horizon, opened 1:35 PM ET. Thesis: TEVA closed 41.45 above its 41.34 session high on 2.2x volume. Price is above VWAP (40.95) and EMAs. RSI is elevated (75.3), so size is modest. Invalidation: Close below opening range low 40.78. Target 43.50 offers ~4.8% reward vs ~1.5% risk. Invalidation: Daily close below 40.78 or 5-min swing low 40.78 (ORL)

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the closing window. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 3/4 entries in 24 h, 0/2 in the last hour, 3/4 open; $1000 more can be committed this hour; an entry is 50% of what the risk checks allow; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 24 h after a stop-out or 6 h after an exit.
- Risk checks: at most 25% of equity per position ($2499.09); 7/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (≥ 8 for an overnight buy in the closing window, and none intraday then); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $2049.84 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2499); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, … [cut: 15,550 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [
    {
      "symbol": "PI",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": 10,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 175.27,
      "take_profit": 185.5,
      "horizon": "overnight",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 7,
      "rationale": "PI broke above ORL 175.27 on 10.5x volume with Q3 earnings (T1). Strong momentum, but no recent news beyond earnings. Intraday positions close by code, so this is an overnight hold.",
      "evidence": [
        "Price 180.555",
        "ORL 175.27",
        "Volume 10.5x median",
        "Earnings 8-K T1"
      ],
      "invalidation": "Close below 175.27 ORL low or daily close below VWAP.",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    },
    {
      "symbol": "WPM",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": 10,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 121.93,
      "take_profit": 127.5,
      "horizon": "overnight",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 6,
      "rationale": "WPM broke above ORL 121.93 on 7.1x volume. No news, but strong volume and breakout. Overnight hold.",
      "evidence": [
        "Price 122.71",
        "ORL 121.93",
        "Volume 7.1x median"
      ],
      "invalidation": "Close below 121.93 ORL low.",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    },
    {
      "symbol": "HUM",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": 10,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 410.11,
      "take_profit": 425,
      "horizon": "overnight",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 6,
      "rationale": "HUM broke above ORL 410.11 on 19.5x volume. Anomaly noted (-1.05% in 1 min, z -6.26), but breakout held. High volume suggests institutional interest. Overnight hold.",
      "evidence": [
        "Price 412.17",
        "ORL 410.11",
        "Volume 19.5x median",
        "Anomaly T1"
      ],
      "invalidation": "Close below 410.11 ORL low.",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    },
    {
      "symbol": "ALNY",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": 10,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 177.04,
      "take_profit": 185,
      "horizon": "overnight",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 7,
      "rationale": "ALNY broke above ORL 177.04 on 5.2x volume. Q3 earnings (T1) and halted earlier. Strong momentum post-halt. Overnight hold.",
      "evidence": [
        "Price 177.32",
        "ORL 177.04",
        "Volume 5.2x median",
        "Earnings 8-K T1",
        "Halt T1"
      ],
      "invalidation": "Close below 177.04 ORL low.",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    }
  ],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "Bought PI, WPM, HUM, ALNY overnight on breakouts with strong volume and earnings catalysts. Existing positions managed as per horizon."
}