Episode · the market · Nov 9, 3:02 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T20:02Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 19:59Z setup, P1, salience 71: LPX new session high: closed 79.14 above 78.8 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 77.51-77.76.
- 19:59Z setup, P1, salience 63: HONA new session high: closed 165.43 above 165.11 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 154.47-159.45.
- 20:00Z setup, P1, salience 90: GLXY new session high: closed 14.85 above 14.72 on 14.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 13.03-13.7.
- 20:00Z setup, P1, salience 86: RDW new session high: closed 8.19 above 8.17 on 8.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 7.08-7.34.
- 20:00Z setup, P1, salience 65: FXI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 34.685 above 34.65 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 34.59-34.65.
- 20:00Z setup, P1, salience 63: APLD new session high: closed 16.71 above 16.68 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 15.37-15.83.
- 20:01Z setup, P1, salience 86: MOS new session high: closed 23.67 above 23.61 on 7.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.39-22.98.
- 20:01Z setup, P1, salience 73: OMC new session high: closed 89.02 above 88.88 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 86.9-87.16.
- 20:01Z setup, P1, salience 66: ALB new session high: closed 99.845 above 99.53 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 97.89-99.21.
- 20:01Z setup, P1, salience 65: PWR new session high: closed 593.7 above 592.41 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 550.45-557.58.
- 20:01Z setup, P1, salience 63: CRL new session high: closed 358 above 357.52 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 344-347.7.
- 20:02Z setup, P1, salience 86: RDDT new session high: closed 98.79 above 98.65 on 5.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 94.24-95.45.
- 20:02Z setup, P1, salience 86: ITT new session high: closed 220.5 above 220.1 on 6.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 210.76-213.9.
- 20:02Z setup, P1, salience 66: CRS new session high: closed 302.45 above 302.06 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 286.66-291.96.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10139.69 (+1.4%) · today +2.39% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.785 (3.14%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 383.835 (0.08%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 142 (3.42%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 326.27 (7.33%), stop 304.81, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 248.83 (0.02%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.76 (0.22%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 199.13 (0.04%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 753.955 (0.85%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.23 (-1.40%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 140.91 (-2.00%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month… [cut: 13,938 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [
    {
      "kind": "price_above",
      "symbol": "GLXY",
      "level": 14.85,
      "at": "2026-11-09T13:30 ET",
      "hours": 0,
      "priority": "review",
      "note": "GLXY closed at 14.85, breaking its session high (13.70-14.72) on 14.6x volume. No news found in the last 24h. Will review at the open to check for catalysts and technicals."
    },
    {
      "kind": "price_above",
      "symbol": "RDDT",
      "level": 98.79,
      "at": "2026-11-09T13:30 ET",
      "hours": 0,
      "priority": "review",
      "note": "RDDT closed at 98.79, breaking its session high (94.24-95.45) on 5.4x volume. T1 anomalies detected but no fundamental news. Will review at the open."
    },
    {
      "kind": "price_above",
      "symbol": "ITT",
      "level": 220.5,
      "at": "2026-11-09T13:30 ET",
      "hours": 0,
      "priority": "review",
      "note": "ITT closed at 220.5, breaking its session high (210.76-213.9) on 6.8x volume. No news found. Will review at the open."
    }
  ],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "Closing window is active; no new entries allowed. Set watches for GLXY, RDDT, and ITT to review at the open, as they showed strong volume breakouts without confirmed catalysts."
}