Episode · the market · Nov 9, 12:32 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T17:32Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 17:28Z setup, P1, salience 81: CSGP new session high: closed 30.855 above 30.8 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 30.25-30.53.
- 17:29Z setup, P1, salience 73: LYB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 60.5 above 60.37 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 59.43-60.37.
- 17:30Z setup, P1, salience 79: LAD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 310.32 above 307.42 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 307.42-307.42.
- 17:30Z setup, P1, salience 70: FBIN new session high: closed 50.97 above 50.89 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 48.75-50.11.
- 17:30Z setup, P1, salience 70: FLS new session high: closed 85.08 above 84.95 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 82.24-83.76.
- 17:30Z setup, P1, salience 65: RBRK new session high: closed 111.32 above 111.2 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 106.64-107.6.
- 17:30Z setup, P1, salience 62: IR new session high: closed 87.11 above 87 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 84.6-85.8.
- 17:31Z setup, P1, salience 86: TDG new session high: closed 1234.98 above 1233.73 on 5.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 1218.53-1224.53.
- 17:31Z setup, P1, salience 73: ESTC new session high: closed 90.09 above 89.93 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 86.06-87.73.
- 17:31Z setup, P1, salience 67: WCN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 189.19 above 189 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 188.72-189.
- 17:32Z setup, P1, salience 86: UTHR new session high: closed 574.08 above 572.84 on 18.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 560.82-561.15.
- 17:32Z setup, P1, salience 63: CRM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 216.32 above 215.33 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 214.53-215.33.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10024.09 (+0.24%) · today +1.22% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.63 (2.80%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 390.89 (1.84%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 140.3 (2.45%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 302.24 (-0.32%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 253.12 (1.73%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.625 (0.15%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 197.18 (-0.95%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 752.62 (0.66%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.17 (-1.50%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 143.7 (-0.01%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 357.775 (1.56%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that bre… [cut: 12,446 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "The session is closing (17:32 ET). No new entries are allowed in the closing window, and all setups lack confirmed catalysts. Book positions remain unchanged."
}