Episode · the market · Nov 9, 12:07 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T17:07Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 17:03Z setup, P1, salience 86: NBIX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 166.73 above 166.34 on 7.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 163.45-166.34.
- 17:03Z setup, P1, salience 86: HTFL new session high: closed 56.33 above 56.27 on 5.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 53.16-55.24.
- 17:03Z setup, P1, salience 75: SPGI new session high: closed 471.14 above 470.57 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 465.55-469.
- 17:03Z setup, P1, salience 69: WM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 236.005 above 235.67 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 234.5-235.67.
- 17:04Z setup, P1, salience 76: BOIL new session high: closed 18.215 above 18.2 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 17.86-18.04.
- 17:04Z setup, P1, salience 66: MOG.A opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 337.16 above 334.57 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 333.29-334.57.
- 17:05Z setup, P1, salience 77: LYG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 5.235 above 5.23 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 5.2-5.23.
- 17:05Z setup, P1, salience 74: DOCU opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 77.65 above 77.56 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 77.24-77.56.
- 17:05Z setup, P1, salience 74: HD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 352.01 above 351.15 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 349.16-351.15.
- 17:05Z setup, P1, salience 70: MAS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 85.4 above 85.06 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 83.61-85.06.
- 17:06Z setup, P1, salience 86: SMR new session high: closed 5.405 above 5.39 on 7.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 4.97-5.11.
- 17:06Z setup, P1, salience 86: STZ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 144.7 above 144.54 on 9.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 143.01-144.54.
- 17:07Z setup, P1, salience 86: MMED new session high: closed 17.5 above 17.45 on 14.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 16.85-16.99.
- 17:07Z setup, P1, salience 83: STZ new session high: closed 145 above 144.7 on 4.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 143.01-144.54.
- 17:07Z setup, P1, salience 76: CNI new session high: closed 126.33 above 126.17 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 125.37-125.37.
- 17:07Z setup, P1, salience 68: LPX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 77.885 above 77.76 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 77.51-77.76.
- 17:07Z setup, P1, salience 67: ZTS new session high: closed 81.09 above 80.95 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 80.03-80.52.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $9995.18 (-0.05%) · today +0.93% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.06 (2.25%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.64 (1.53%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 140.925 (2.86%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 301.2 (-1.04%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252.365 (1.40%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.455 (0.07%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 195.515 (-1.71%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 751.405 (0.50%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 51.85 (-2.10%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at … [cut: 14,333 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 17:07Z, well past the closing window (16:00Z). The rules prohibit new entries during the closing window and after the close. All setups in the brief are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts, and the session is effectively over. No actions are taken."
}