Episode · the market · Nov 9, 11:37 AM

NOW: 2026-11-09T16:37Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 16:33Z setup, P1, salience 77: IYH new session high: closed 78.54 above 78.4 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 77.94-77.94.
- 16:33Z setup, P1, salience 63: RPM new session high: closed 105.805 above 105.55 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 103.95-105.08.
- 16:34Z setup, P1, salience 70: HESM new session high: closed 30.625 above 30.55 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 29.57-29.77.
- 16:34Z setup, P1, salience 66: SJM new session high: closed 132.68 above 132.5 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 130.44-131.17.
- 16:35Z setup, P1, salience 86: LAMR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 158.02 above 157.72 on 9.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 157.72-157.72.
- 16:35Z setup, P1, salience 74: CAVA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 61.36 above 61.14 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 59.84-61.14.
- 16:35Z setup, P1, salience 70: VMI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 420.65 above 415.02 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 415.02-415.02.
- 16:35Z setup, P1, salience 65: PCG new session high: closed 13.15 above 13.12 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 12.95-13.05.
- 16:36Z setup, P1, salience 86: CI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 295.345 above 294.7 on 7.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 293.51-294.7.
- 16:36Z setup, P1, salience 86: MDT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 102.67 above 102.46 on 7.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 101.88-102.46.
- 16:36Z setup, P1, salience 80: WAL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 77.78 above 76.29 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 76.29-76.29.
- 16:36Z setup, P1, salience 71: ZBH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 107.59 above 107.02 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 106.24-107.02.
- 16:36Z setup, P1, salience 66: JXN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 136.13 above 135.12 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 133.76-135.12.
- 16:37Z setup, P1, salience 88: TDG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 1231.36 above 1224.53 on 12.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 1218.53-1224.53.
- 16:37Z setup, P1, salience 86: PSLV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 17.095 above 17.06 on 19.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 16.99-17.06.
- 16:37Z setup, P1, salience 67: FUTU opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 99.2 above 98.4 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 97.81-98.4.
- 16:37Z setup, P1, salience 65: RGTI new session high: closed 12.795 above 12.78 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 11.71-11.95.
- 16:37Z setup, P1, salience 64: HDV new session high: closed 30.54 above 30.5 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 30.32-30.39.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $9920.03 (-0.8%) · today +0.17% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 104.42 (0.66%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.48 (1.47%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 137.76 (0.69%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 300.6 (-1.13%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252.05 (1.28%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.585 (0.11%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 195.61 (-1.76%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 749.335 (0.21%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 51.69 (-2.19%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the … [cut: 14,850 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 16:37Z ET, the closing window. Code prohibits new entries after the opening buffer in the closing window. All setups are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts. No positions in the book require action. Cash remains $239.54."
}