Episode · the market · Nov 10, 11:23 AM

NOW: 2026-11-10T16:23Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 16:19Z setup, P1, salience 74: CTVA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 12.045 above 12.02 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 11.86-12.02.
- 16:19Z setup, P1, salience 73: FDXF opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 128.33 above 127.99 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 127.99-127.99.
- 16:20Z setup, P1, salience 87: EXLS new session high: closed 43.61 above 43.43 on 6.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 43.09-43.27.
- 16:20Z setup, P1, salience 71: ANF opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 156.07 above 151.99 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 149.97-151.99.
- 16:20Z setup, P1, salience 70: TRI new session high: closed 108.42 above 108.24 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 106.95-108.05.
- 16:21Z setup, P1, salience 83: BNO new session high: closed 58.16 above 57.85 on 4.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 56.97-57.23.
- 16:22Z setup, P1, salience 95: SMX new session high: closed 21.45 above 19.93 on 5.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 14.44-16.26.
- 16:22Z setup, P1, salience 87: GLL new session high: closed 26.51 above 26.41 on 5.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 26.3-26.34.
- 16:22Z setup, P1, salience 86: CHRD new session high: closed 138.875 above 138.64 on 14.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 133.74-135.39.
- 16:22Z setup, P1, salience 72: BOX new session high: closed 42.22 above 42.16 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 41.08-41.49.
- 16:23Z setup, P1, salience 86: HNGE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 121.53 above 121.17 on 10.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 119.05-121.17.
- 16:23Z setup, P1, salience 76: MANH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 253.05 above 252.52 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 248.73-252.52.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3447.57 · equity $10242.78 (+2.43%) · today +0.24% · 9 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.46 (1.47%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 249.815 (0.41%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.08 (0.38%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 192.1 (-3.28%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.615 (0.17%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 747.265 (-0.04%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 50.14 (-5.44%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 141.895 (-1.34%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 349.75 (-0.77%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 0/3 in the last hour, 1/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2560.7). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 3/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $3242.71 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2561); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; overnight and multi-day ones stay. Stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders, and once a position is up by its stop distance code trails its stop at that distance behind the price.

MARKET
- SPY 747.265 (-0.72%), QQQ 673.41 (-0.79%), I… [cut: 12,702 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 16:23Z ET, inside the closing window (17:00-18:00 ET). Per the rules, no new entries are allowed in the closing window. I am reviewing the setups, but they lack confirmed catalysts and are late-day breakouts. No positions in the book require action. I will wait for the session to close."
}