Episode · the market · Nov 10, 3:22 PM

NOW: 2026-11-10T20:22Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 20:18Z setup, P1, salience 66: EL new session high: closed 113.35 above 113.23 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 112.36-112.86.
- 20:19Z setup, P1, salience 75: ET new session high: closed 19.52 above 19.5 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 18.95-19.05.
- 20:21Z setup, P1, salience 78: NYT new session high: closed 72.39 above 72.18 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 71.37-71.56.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3829.51 · equity $10233.13 (+2.33%) · today +0.14% · 8 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 390.04 (1.56%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 250.61 (0.75%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.27 (0.48%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.495 (-0.31%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 749.215 (0.21%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 49.81 (-5.95%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 141.63 (-1.52%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 350.73 (-0.39%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 0/3 in the last hour, 1/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2558.28). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 3/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $3624.85 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2558); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; overnight and multi-day ones stay. Stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders, and once a position is up by its stop distance code trails its stop at that distance behind the price.

MARKET
- SPY 749.21 (-0.47%), QQQ 673.6 (-0.76%), IWM 280.24, DIA 521.56, VIXY 18.365, TLT 80.91

SUBJECT EL
- 113.135; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT ET
- 19.505; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
c94be68e04ec [Nov 10, 8:03 AM ET | T2 fool.com | earnings | sev 51] Energy Transfer’s EPS Missed by 20%. Enbridge’s Profit Nearly Doubled. Here’s Why I’m Not Worried About Either Dividend Even Though Both Still Fell Short. (https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/11/10/energy-transfer-s-eps-missed-by-20-enbridge-s-profit-nearly-doubled-here-s-why-i-m-not-worried-about-either-dividend-even-though-both-still-fell-short?source=iedfolrf0000001)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT NYT
- 72.395; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

YOUR NOTES
- [MARKET, 2026-11-10T20:07Z] 20:07Z: Closing window (17:00-18:00 ET) is active. No new entries allowed. Observed setups (VTRS, EWBC, SPSM, CHTR) are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts (news absent or unconfirmed anomalies). Book holds 8 stocks; no exits triggered. Cash $3829.51.
- [MARKET, 2026-11-10T19:12Z] Closing window (17:00-18:00 ET) is active. No new entries allowed. Observed setups (BMI, IWD, SCHM, SUPN, KNSL, HYD, GL, ET, UTHR, SPYV, FNB, VTWO, IWN, WFRD) are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts (news absent or unconfirmed anomalies). Book holds 8 stocks; no exits triggered. Cash $3829.51.
- [MARKET, 2026-11-10T18:52Z] Closing window (17:00-18:00 ET) is active. No new entries allowed. Observed setups (LRN, ZTS, R, TPG, LAD) are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts (news absent or unconfirmed anomalies). Book holds 9 stocks; no exits triggered. Cash $3447.57.
- [MARKET, 2026-11-10T18:17Z] Closing window (17:00-18:00 ET) is active. No new entries allowed. Observed setups (WAB, IFF, CAH, HURN, CRUS) are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts (news absent or unconfirmed ano… [cut: 8,405 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 20:22Z ET, well past the 18:00 ET market close. The closing window has passed, and no new entries are permitted. The book holds 8 stocks with no exits triggered; all positions remain intact. No action taken."
}