Episode · the market · Nov 9, 3:48 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T20:48Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 20:43Z setup, P1, salience 83: SMX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 10.36 above 7.2 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 7.2-7.2.
- 20:43Z setup, P1, salience 62: SEIC new session high: closed 108.97 above 108.83 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 107.43-107.43.
- 20:46Z setup, P1, salience 86: CHWY new session high: closed 23.105 above 23.08 on 10.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.88-23.04.
- 20:46Z setup, P1, salience 86: ECHO new session high: closed 101.29 above 101.15 on 6.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 94.8-97.81.
- 20:46Z setup, P1, salience 69: TKO new session high: closed 198.67 above 198.03 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 193.07-193.29.
- 20:46Z setup, P1, salience 68: HNGE new session high: closed 121.21 above 120.88 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 116.77-116.93.
- 20:47Z setup, P1, salience 86: VICR new session high: closed 165.56 above 165.18 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 150-153.98.
- 20:47Z setup, P1, salience 86: TXRH new session high: closed 190.715 above 190.24 on 9.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 186.23-186.93.
- 20:47Z setup, P1, salience 84: CLX new session high: closed 105.845 above 105.7 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 100.41-101.88.
- 20:47Z setup, P1, salience 81: BJ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 109.605 above 109.49 on 4.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 108.65-109.49.
- 20:47Z setup, P1, salience 75: VSH new session high: closed 26.59 above 26.56 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 23.68-24.2.
- 20:48Z setup, P1, salience 66: CHTR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 120.595 above 120.28 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 117.23-120.28.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10197.19 (+1.97%) · today +2.97% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 107.63 (3.73%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.3 (1.43%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 141.99 (3.62%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 330.83 (8.39%), stop 310.39, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252.6 (1.54%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.835 (0.26%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 200.1 (0.61%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 754.445 (0.92%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 51.72 (-2.28%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 142.605 (-0.79%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 355.69 (1.16%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the … [cut: 14,413 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "The closing window is active (20:48Z ET), meaning no new entries are permitted. All observed setups lack confirmed catalysts or are late-day breakouts without fundamental backing. No positions require exit as none have hit their stops or invalidation levels."
}