Episode · the market · Nov 9, 3:28 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T20:28Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 20:23Z setup, P1, salience 86: RYAAY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 61.925 above 61.27 on 4.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 60.98-61.27.
- 20:23Z setup, P1, salience 75: AMBA new session high: closed 62.42 above 62.19 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 58.25-59.7.
- 20:23Z setup, P1, salience 63: PODD new session high: closed 150.44 above 150.26 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 146.27-148.14.
- 20:24Z setup, P1, salience 85: CLH new session high: closed 289.95 above 289.58 on 4.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 283.75-285.83.
- 20:24Z setup, P1, salience 67: SKHY new session high: closed 135.19 above 135.03 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 125.92-129.78.
- 20:24Z setup, P1, salience 62: METU new session high: closed 23.65 above 23.62 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.89-23.47.
- 20:25Z setup, P1, salience 86: NTSK new session high: closed 22.7 above 22.65 on 7× its median minute volume today; opening range 21.24-21.41.
- 20:26Z setup, P1, salience 80: RAM new session high: closed 5.9 above 5.89 on 4.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 5.22-5.47.
- 20:26Z setup, P1, salience 70: LSCC new session high: closed 113.97 above 113.82 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 107.52-108.62.
- 20:26Z setup, P1, salience 63: GMAB new session high: closed 55.51 above 55.39 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 53.38-54.03.
- 20:27Z setup, P1, salience 66: LYV new session high: closed 177.74 above 177.52 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 173.61-174.28.
- 20:27Z setup, P1, salience 63: LNTH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 101.03 above 100.79 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 100.72-100.79.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10189.28 (+1.89%) · today +2.89% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.655 (2.83%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 387.53 (0.99%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 142.82 (4.29%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 331.925 (9.15%), stop 310.39, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 251.075 (0.96%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.87 (0.27%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 200.525 (0.76%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 755.125 (1.00%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.395 (-1.09%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 141.815 (-1.39%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 354.78 (0.71%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_d… [cut: 13,181 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 20:28Z ET (after-hours). The closing window has passed and the regular session is closed. No new entries are permitted. All existing positions remain open and are managed by their trailing stops or trend rules."
}