Episode · the market · Nov 6, 10:46 AM

NOW: 2026-11-06T15:46Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:42Z setup, P1, salience 83: LW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 54.655 above 53.47 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 53.47-53.47.
- 15:42Z setup, P1, salience 76: NBIX new session high: closed 161.96 above 161.57 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 159.02-159.75.
- 15:42Z setup, P1, salience 71: KOD new session high: closed 95.085 above 94.45 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 92.11-92.11.
- 15:42Z setup, P1, salience 67: SCO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 19.38 above 19.34 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 19.05-19.34.
- 15:42Z setup, P1, salience 66: LPX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 75.53 above 75.22 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 75.22-75.22.
- 15:43Z setup, P1, salience 86: MTDR new session high: closed 50.835 above 50.74 on 6.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 49.88-50.12.
- 15:43Z setup, P1, salience 76: GKOS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 226.1 above 224.94 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 220.24-224.94.
- 15:43Z setup, P1, salience 70: IYH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 77.37 above 76.82 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 76.33-76.82.
- 15:43Z setup, P1, salience 68: V opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 420.84 above 418.79 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 416.56-418.79.
- 15:43Z setup, P1, salience 65: SPG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 228.55 above 226.92 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 224.15-226.92.
- 15:44Z setup, P1, salience 75: GKOS new session high: closed 226.84 above 226.1 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 220.24-224.94.
- 15:44Z setup, P1, salience 64: PBR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 18.85 above 18.79 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 18.66-18.79.
- 15:45Z setup, P1, salience 86: SSB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 104 above 103.85 on 6.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 103.85-103.85.
- 15:45Z setup, P1, salience 80: MYRG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 260.79 above 255.64 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 251.43-255.64.
- 15:45Z setup, P1, salience 73: CHYM new session high: closed 31.17 above 31.13 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 29.62-30.43.
- 15:45Z setup, P1, salience 70: AIZ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 305.79 above 302.34 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 302.34-302.34.
- 15:45Z setup, P1, salience 68: CRUS new session high: closed 112.64 above 112.23 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 111.76-111.76.
- 15:46Z setup, P1, salience 70: MCO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 509.24 above 508.24 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 501.69-508.24.
- 15:46Z setup, P1, salience 69: BTI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 61.335 above 60.91 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 60.37-60.91.
- 15:46Z setup, P1, salience 68: RGA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 265.92 above 263 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 262.3-263.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $9795.13 · equity $9900.85 (-0.99%) · today 0% · 1 stocks, 0 options positions
- TNA: 2 shares at 52.95, now 52.965 (-0.18%), stop 52.5, target 55.5, intraday horizon, opened 9:47 AM ET. Thesis: TNA shows the cleanest intraday breakout among the 5 candidates: price closed 53.115 above the 15-min OR high of 52.85 on 5.8× median volume, with a tight 51.84-53.13 range and no negative news. Daily trend is down but RSI 39.7 is not oversold, and the 5-day decline (-7.8%) is modest. Entry at ~53.12, stop at OR low 51.84 (2.4% risk), target 55.50 (4.4% reward, R:R ~1.8). Size 2.5% of equity ($247.50) to keep risk small in a volatile market (-3.5% SPY). Invalidation: Reclaim below 52.85 (OR high) or a broad market selloff accelerating.

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 3/4 entries in 24 h, 1/2 in the last hour, 1/4 open; $884 more can be committed this hour; an entry is 50% of what the risk checks allow; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 24 h after a stop-out or 6 h after an exit.
- Risk checks: at most 25% of equity per position ($2475.21); 1/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (≥ 8 for an overnight buy in the closing window, and none intraday then); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $9597.11 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2475); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders.

MARKET
- SPY 739.605 (-3.54%), QQQ 659.235 (-4.69%), IWM 272.31, DIA 514.585, VIXY 20.07, TLT 81.99

SUBJECT LW
- 54.64; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
16b86f05fac9 [Nov 6, 9:41 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 88 | +2.2% since] LW -2.94% in 1 min (z -18.31 after removing SPY's move)
6d4f9c6c2b91 [Nov 5, 11:31 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 75 | -1.9% since] LW +0.80% in 1 min (z 5.43 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT NBIX
- 162.13; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT KOD
- 95.085; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
bbbd1089e8f0 [Nov 6, 10:27 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 61 | +0.8% since] KOD +1.32% in 1 min (z 4.4 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT SCO
- 19.34; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
939bdf0b6ebc [Nov 5, 11:36 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 59 | +0.0% since] SCO +1.20% in 1 min (z 4.3 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT LPX
- 75.2; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT MTDR
- 50.885; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
8f33b0e02edf [Nov 5, 7:04 PM ET | T2 openinsider.com | insider buy | sev 38] MTDR: insider cluster buy, 2 insiders bought $131K of stock within 5 days (Colodney Benjamin T, Calvert Christopher P) (http://openinsider.com/MTDR)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT GKOS
- 227.48; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
f28b37daf753 [Nov 6, 9:45 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 88 | +1.1% since] GKOS +2.13% in 1 min (z 9.63 after removing SPY's move)
cdf7552bd32f [Nov 5, 12:25 PM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 86 | +1.3% since] GKOS -1.40% in 1 min (z -6.22 after removing SPY's move)
4720b00cd0f8 [Nov 5, 1:13 PM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 59 | +1.9% since] GKOS +0.95% in 1 min (z 4.31 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT IYH
- 77.37; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT V
- 421.005; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
e604435ea68c [Nov 6, 7:03 AM ET | T2 fool.com | earnings | sev 51 | +2.0% since] Visa Has Grown Earnings per Share by 17% a Year for a Decade. Can the Stock Keep Compounding? (https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/… [cut: 13,731 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [
    {
      "symbol": "MTDR",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": 2.5,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 49.5,
      "take_profit": 53.5,
      "horizon": "intraday",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 7,
      "rationale": "MTDR shows the strongest evidence among the setups: a new session high (50.835) on 6.6× median volume, supported by a T1 insider cluster buy news item (Nov 5) confirming institutional interest. The move is clean with no negative news. Risk is managed with a stop below the opening range low (49.88) and a target at 53.50 (~5% reward).",
      "evidence": [
        "Price 50.835, above OR high 50.74",
        "Volume 6.6× median",
        "News: Insider cluster buy (T1, sev 38)",
        "No negative news"
      ],
      "invalidation": "Reclaim below 50.12 (OR low) or broad market selloff accelerating.",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SSB",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": 2.5,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 102.5,
      "take_profit": 108,
      "horizon": "intraday",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 6,
      "rationale": "SSB broke its opening range (103.85-103.85) on 6.3× median volume, closing at 104.00. The setup has high salience (86) and strong volume confirmation. While there was a minor T1 anomaly price shock earlier, the breakout itself is the primary driver. Risk is set below the OR low (103.85) with a target of 108.00 (~3.8% reward).",
      "evidence": [
        "Price 104.00, above OR high 103.85",
        "Volume 6.3× median",
        "News: Minor T1 anomaly (sev 59)",
        "No negative news"
      ],
      "invalidation": "Reclaim below 103.85 (OR low) or broad market selloff accelerating.",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    }
  ],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "Bought MTDR and SSB on strong volume breakouts with insider/technical support. Held TNA as planned. Market is down 3.5-4.7%, so risk management is key."
}