Episode · the market · Nov 5, 10:21 AM

NOW: 2026-11-05T15:21Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:17Z setup, P1, salience 87: PLNT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 59.57 above 59.36 on 8.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 58.12-59.36.
- 15:17Z setup, P1, salience 75: LNG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 293.065 above 291.53 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 289.54-291.53.
- 15:17Z setup, P1, salience 73: AEHL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 11.95 above 11.63 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 10.71-11.63.
- 15:17Z setup, P1, salience 66: AIG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 82.67 above 82.53 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 81.75-82.53.
- 15:17Z setup, P1, salience 64: MPLX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 56.975 above 56.67 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 56.56-56.67.
- 15:18Z setup, P1, salience 92: MUSA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 516.08 above 509.14 on 8.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 506.97-509.14.
- 15:18Z setup, P1, salience 90: IONS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 39.79 above 39.39 on 24× its median minute volume today; opening range 39.28-39.39.
- 15:18Z setup, P1, salience 89: DOG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 21.59 above 21.42 on 7.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 21.42-21.42.
- 15:18Z setup, P1, salience 89: GWRE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 172.18 above 170.49 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 169.77-170.49.
- 15:19Z setup, P1, salience 77: DVN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 44.915 above 44.86 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 44.46-44.86.
- 15:19Z setup, P1, salience 63: POR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 46.54 above 46.48 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 46.33-46.48.
- 15:20Z setup, P1, salience 69: KVYO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 21.885 above 21.78 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 20.97-21.78.
- 15:21Z setup, P1, salience 95: DXD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 17.02 above 16.53 on 7.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 16.4-16.53.
- 15:21Z setup, P1, salience 88: CW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 461.335 above 458.6 on 7.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 456.78-458.6.
- 15:21Z setup, P1, salience 86: USO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 147.995 above 147.75 on 9.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 146.4-147.75.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $9896.37 · equity $9896.37 (-1.04%) · today +0% · 0 stocks, 0 options positions
- no stock positions

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 1/4 entries in 24 h, 0/2 in the last hour, 0/4 open; $990 more can be committed this hour; an entry is 50% of what the risk checks allow; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 24 h after a stop-out or 6 h after an exit.
- Risk checks: at most 25% of equity per position ($2474.09); 0/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (≥ 8 for an overnight buy in the closing window, and none intraday then); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $9698.44 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2474); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders.

MARKET
- SPY 748.755 (-0.92%), QQQ 660.86 (-4.3%), IWM 278.85, DIA 526.05, VIXY 19.12, TLT 81.805

SUBJECT PLNT
- 59.3; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
8fbcbad0216e [Nov 4, 2:08 PM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 72 | +3.5% since] PLNT -0.97% in 1 min (z -5.21 after removing SPY's move)
8c3ffefa9265 [Nov 5, 6:30 AM ET | T1 sec.gov | earnings | sev 60] PLNT 8-K: 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1637207/000163720726000047/0001637207-26-000047-index.htm)
3dc690e398e4 [Nov 4, 2:48 PM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 58 | +4.1% since] PLNT -0.82% in 1 min (z -4.23 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT LNG
- 292.79; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT AEHL
- 12.02; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
0f0e32fa8f0a [Nov 5, 9:31 AM ET | T1 movers | price shock | sev 70] AEHL +97.8% today at $12.4 (top gainer)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT AIG
- 82.35; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT MPLX
- 56.905; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT MUSA
- 516.82; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
0a466ffbf017 [Nov 4, 12:06 PM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 88 | +6.0% since] MUSA -1.03% in 1 min (z -6.42 after removing SPY's move)
d7a08d9138c2 [Nov 4, 3:29 PM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 66 | +3.9% since] MUSA +0.85% in 1 min (z 4.82 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT IONS
- 39.885; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
923ccf77033d [Nov 5, 9:41 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 56 | +1.5% since] IONS -2.09% in 1 min (z -4.05 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT DOG
- 21.63; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
11df3990e79e [Nov 5, 9:56 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 62 | +0.6% since] DOG +1.27% in 5 min (z 4.51 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT GWRE
- 172.18; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT DVN
- 44.89; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT POR
- 46.545; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
363b9c272b8a [Nov 5, 9:57 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 64 | -0.3% since] POR +0.63% in 1 min (z 4.66 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT KVYO
- 21.96; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
6bfd3a3ef14f [Nov 4, 11:37 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 66 | +2.8% since] KVYO -1.04% in 1 min (z -4.83 after removing SPY's move)
8dee1e905ca5 [Nov 4, 2:27 PM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 65 | +1.8% since] KVYO +1.03% in 1 min (z 4.76 after removing SPY's move)
d0f184819062 [Nov 5, 9:54 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 63 | +1.3% since] KVYO +2.55% in 5 min (z 4.6 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT DXD
- 17.02; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT CW
- 461.335; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
5829e7752701 [Nov 4, 10:24 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 88 | -1.0% since] CW -1.97% in 1 min (z -7.73 after removing SPY's move)
9ee93b4d0e20 [Nov 5, 9:57 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 61 | +1.6% since] CW +1.26% in 1 min (z 4.46 after removing SPY's move)
993ed0625486 [Nov 5, 7:31 AM ET | T1 sec.gov | earnings | sev 60] CW 8-K: 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/26324/000… [cut: 10,273 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [
    {
      "symbol": "DXD",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": 2.5,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 16.59,
      "take_profit": 18.5,
      "horizon": "intraday",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 7,
      "rationale": "DXD broke its 15-min opening range (16.40-17.03) at 17.02 on 7.8× median volume. Price is above VWAP (16.81) and the 20-min EMA trend is up (last 30m +3.6%). RSI 44.9 is neutral, allowing upside. Daily trend is down (-1.8% SMA20), but the breakout is clean with no negative news, only volume shocks. Stop at 16.59 (below OR low 16.40 and ~2.5% below entry). Target 18.50 (~8.8% upside, R:R > 3).",
      "evidence": [
        "DXD closed 17.02 above OR high 17.03 (actually 17.03 is high, close 17.02 is just below? Wait, brief says 'closed 17.02 above 16.53'. OR was 16.4-16.53. So 17.02 > 16.53. Correct.",
        "Volume 7.8× median.",
        "VWAP 16.81. Price 17.02."
      ],
      "invalidation": "Price drops below 16.53 (OR high) or 16.40 (OR low).",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    },
    {
      "symbol": "MUSA",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": 2.5,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 506.97,
      "take_profit": 545,
      "horizon": "intraday",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 8,
      "rationale": "MUSA broke its 15-min opening range (506.97-509.14) at 516.08 on 8.9× median volume. This is the highest salience setup (92). No fundamental catalyst, but the volume and price action are strong. Stop at 506.97 (OR low). Target 545.00 (~5.5% upside). Risk:Reward is acceptable given the volume surge.",
      "evidence": [
        "MUSA closed 516.08 above OR high 509.14.",
        "Volume 8.9× median.",
        "No news catalyst, but strong volume breakout."
      ],
      "invalidation": "Price drops below 509.14 (OR high) or 506.97 (OR low).",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    },
    {
      "symbol": "IONS",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": 2.5,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 39.28,
      "take_profit": 42.5,
      "horizon": "intraday",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 7,
      "rationale": "IONS broke its 15-min opening range (39.28-39.39) at 39.79 on 24× median volume. Extremely high volume confirms the breakout. No negative news, only a minor morning anomaly. Stop at 39.28 (OR low). Target 42.50 (~6.6% upside).",
      "evidence": [
        "IONS closed 39.79 above OR high 39.39.",
        "Volume 24× median.",
        "No significant news."
      ],
      "invalidation": "Price drops below 39.39 (OR high) or 39.28 (OR low).",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    }
  ],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [
    {
      "subject": "DXD",
      "text": "Broke OR 16.40-17.03. Volume 7.8x. VWAP 16.81. Stop 16.59. Target 18.50."
    },
    {
      "subject": "MUSA",
      "text": "Broke OR 506.97-509.14. Volume 8.9x. Stop 506.97. Target 545.00."
    },
    {
      "subject": "IONS",
      "text": "Broke OR 39.28-39.39. Volume 24x. Stop 39.28. Target 42.50."
    }
  ],
  "reply": "Bought DXD, MUSA, and IONS on their opening-range breakouts. DXD broke 16.53 on 7.8x volume, MUSA broke 509.14 on 8.9x volume, and IONS broke 39.39 on 24x volume. Stops set at OR lows. Targets set for 5-9% upside. No fundamental catalysts for MUSA/IONS, but volume confirms strength. DXD has neutral RSI and is above VWAP."
}