Episode · the market · Nov 10, 12:58 PM

NOW: 2026-11-10T17:58Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 17:55Z setup, P1, salience 91: EGP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 199.18 above 196.79 on 8× its median minute volume today; opening range 196.79-196.79.
- 17:55Z setup, P1, salience 86: BAH new session high: closed 87.91 above 87.79 on 6.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 85.91-86.53.
- 17:55Z setup, P1, salience 80: CINF opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 189.67 above 186.4 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 186.4-186.4.
- 17:57Z setup, P1, salience 79: OSCR new session high: closed 33.65 above 33.55 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 32.45-32.86.
- 17:57Z setup, P1, salience 75: POR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 45.965 above 45.8 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 45.45-45.8.
- 17:57Z setup, P1, salience 65: EPAM new session high: closed 161.77 above 161.55 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 156.56-157.31.
- 17:58Z setup, P1, salience 63: RBA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 96.73 above 96.54 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 96.45-96.54.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3447.57 · equity $10184.25 (+1.84%) · today -0.33% · 9 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.78 (1.54%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 249.72 (0.37%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.045 (0.34%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 191.22 (-4.02%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.135 (-1.85%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 746.61 (-0.15%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 49.19 (-7.16%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 141.61 (-1.52%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 348.59 (-1.02%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 0/3 in the last hour, 1/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2546.06). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 3/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $3243.89 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2546); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; overnight and multi-day ones stay. Stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders, and once a position is up by its stop distance code trails its stop at that distance behind the price.

MARKET
- SPY 746.61 (-0.81%), QQQ 670.045 (-1.29%), IWM 279.56, DIA 520.52, VIXY 18.785, TLT 80.66

SUBJECT EGP
- 199.18; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
572898aead9e [Nov 10, 10:07 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 88 | +1.2% since] EGP -1.30% in 1 min (z -13.86 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT BAH
- 87.87; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
1b93106f3d98 [Nov 10, 11:52 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 69 | +0.5% since] BAH +0.76% in 1 min (z 5.03 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT CINF
- 189.67; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
76ddab75e03c [Nov 10, 12:32 PM ET | T1 anomaly … [cut: 10,413 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "The closing window (17:00-18:00 ET) is active; no new entries are allowed. All observed setups are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts. Book holds 9 stocks with no exits triggered."
}