Episode · the market · Nov 10, 10:23 AM

NOW: 2026-11-10T15:23Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:19Z setup, P1, salience 79: MUSA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 515 above 512.05 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 504.83-512.05.
- 15:19Z setup, P1, salience 77: TTE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 87.17 above 86.72 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 86.47-86.72.
- 15:19Z setup, P1, salience 69: XOM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 163.77 above 162.29 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 160.37-162.29.
- 15:19Z setup, P1, salience 65: ALGN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 173.05 above 172.47 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 172.06-172.47.
- 15:19Z setup, P1, salience 64: CVS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 86.74 above 86.51 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 85.47-86.51.
- 15:20Z setup, P1, salience 91: HESM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 30.505 above 30.13 on 5.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 30-30.13.
- 15:20Z setup, P1, salience 89: BOX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 41.79 above 41.49 on 5.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 41.08-41.49.
- 15:20Z setup, P1, salience 77: SEI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 61.57 above 60.48 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 59.4-60.48.
- 15:20Z setup, P1, salience 76: OIH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 359.95 above 353.2 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 350.27-353.2.
- 15:20Z setup, P1, salience 74: SMCI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 28.495 above 28.09 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 27.45-28.09.
- 15:21Z setup, P1, salience 81: DOCS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 32.5 above 32.38 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 31.99-32.38.
- 15:21Z setup, P1, salience 79: LPLA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 310.38 above 308.49 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 307.2-308.49.
- 15:21Z setup, P1, salience 69: ZS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 196.03 above 194.74 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 191.41-194.74.
- 15:21Z setup, P1, salience 66: IWO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 355.15 above 354.02 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 352.84-354.02.
- 15:21Z setup, P1, salience 63: TSN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 60.12 above 60.02 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 59.54-60.02.
- 15:22Z setup, P1, salience 83: CVLT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 167.455 above 165.7 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 164.5-165.7.
- 15:22Z setup, P1, salience 75: PRIM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 71.48 above 70.39 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 69.75-70.39.
- 15:22Z setup, P1, salience 72: UNF opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 235.88 above 234.39 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 233.37-234.39.
- 15:22Z setup, P1, salience 72: QXO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 13.585 above 13.57 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 13.32-13.57.
- 15:23Z setup, P1, salience 88: QYLD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 17.68 above 17.56 on 15.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 17.56-17.56.
- 15:23Z setup, P1, salience 86: TAN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 44.57 above 44.52 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 44.26-44.52.
- 15:23Z setup, P1, salience 83: OKE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 86.46 above 85.48 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 84.92-85.48.
- 15:23Z setup, P1, salience 77: KGS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 44.17 above 43.95 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 43.48-43.95.
- 15:23Z setup, P1, salience 69: SMR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 5.36 above 5.33 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 5.17-5.33.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $2881.65 · equity $10268.27 (+2.68%) · today +0.49% · 10 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 385.995 (0.53%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 4 shares at 136.96, now 142.53 (4.25%), stop 138.44, target 176.97, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: A close below the trailing stop at 137.66 invalidates the bounce thesis and locks in the profit.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 248.43 (-0.14%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.97 (0.34%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 196.34 (-1.27%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.815 (1.04%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 750.065 (0.36%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2… [cut: 17,994 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "The closing window is active (15:23Z ET); no new entries are allowed. All observed setups lack confirmed catalysts or are unconfirmed anomalies, and the book's 10 positions remain valid with no exits triggered."
}