Episode · the market · Nov 9, 1:52 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T18:52Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 18:48Z setup, P1, salience 86: TGTX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 58.29 above 58.13 on 11.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 56.58-58.13.
- 18:49Z setup, P1, salience 83: TGTX new session high: closed 58.38 above 58.29 on 4.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 56.58-58.13.
- 18:49Z setup, P1, salience 74: IVZ new session high: closed 29.06 above 29.02 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 27.64-28.
- 18:49Z setup, P1, salience 72: LYV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 174.54 above 174.28 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 173.61-174.28.
- 18:49Z setup, P1, salience 72: AN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 186.49 above 185.77 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 185.77-185.77.
- 18:49Z setup, P1, salience 66: SCHM new session high: closed 35.5 above 35.45 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 34.8-34.86.
- 18:51Z setup, P1, salience 86: ITUB new session high: closed 7.505 above 7.5 on 17.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 7.42-7.45.
- 18:51Z setup, P1, salience 64: OC new session high: closed 126.97 above 126.59 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 123.55-126.27.
- 18:52Z setup, P1, salience 86: WSM new session high: closed 262.81 above 262.49 on 8.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 259.34-259.95.
- 18:52Z setup, P1, salience 86: J new session high: closed 157.85 above 157.58 on 6.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 150.86-150.86.
- 18:52Z setup, P1, salience 74: RBLX new session high: closed 52.25 above 52.19 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 50.69-51.32.
- 18:52Z setup, P1, salience 73: LULU new session high: closed 114.08 above 113.9 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 111.12-112.11.
- 18:52Z setup, P1, salience 73: RBA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 97.54 above 96.62 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 95.5-96.62.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10092.90 (+0.93%) · today +1.92% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 107.185 (3.33%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 388.63 (1.28%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 139.48 (1.85%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 316.53 (3.93%), stop 287.16, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 251.78 (1.14%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.8 (0.27%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 199.065 (0.14%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 753.04 (0.73%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 51.805 (-2.21%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 143.755 (0.01%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 356.39 (1.17%), stop 300.25, … [cut: 14,598 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "Closing window is active (17:00-18:00 ET); no new entries allowed. All observed setups are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts. Book holds 11 stocks; no exits triggered."
}