Episode · the market · Nov 9, 11:22 AM

NOW: 2026-11-09T16:22Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 16:18Z setup, P1, salience 81: CVLT new session high: closed 164.98 above 164.45 on 4.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 160.89-160.89.
- 16:18Z setup, P1, salience 76: BAP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 354.1 above 350.81 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 349.72-350.81.
- 16:18Z setup, P1, salience 68: WAT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 468.06 above 466.62 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 458.39-466.62.
- 16:18Z setup, P1, salience 62: EOG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 147.54 above 147.19 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 144.14-147.19.
- 16:19Z setup, P1, salience 86: WMB new session high: closed 66.01 above 65.92 on 6.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 63.77-64.79.
- 16:19Z setup, P1, salience 86: DEO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 100.58 above 100.41 on 6.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 100.19-100.41.
- 16:19Z setup, P1, salience 81: SPSM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 54.86 above 54.53 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 54.16-54.53.
- 16:19Z setup, P1, salience 76: FIVE new session high: closed 252 above 250.66 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 247.41-249.62.
- 16:19Z setup, P1, salience 74: KOD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 105.97 above 101.7 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 99.59-101.7.
- 16:20Z setup, P1, salience 83: POR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 46.17 above 46.08 on 4.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 45.97-46.08.
- 16:20Z setup, P1, salience 78: ARCC new session high: closed 19.265 above 19.23 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 19.1-19.17.
- 16:20Z setup, P1, salience 74: AIZ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 314.405 above 312.3 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 312.3-312.3.
- 16:20Z setup, P1, salience 73: AVUV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 122.26 above 121.84 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 121.11-121.84.
- 16:20Z setup, P1, salience 67: WH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 79.7 above 79.56 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 78.77-79.56.
- 16:21Z setup, P1, salience 84: ESAB new session high: closed 86.895 above 86.77 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 85.25-85.62.
- 16:21Z setup, P1, salience 70: SHAK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 76.98 above 76.69 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 75.08-76.69.
- 16:21Z setup, P1, salience 65: MDLZ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 66.11 above 66.01 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 65.63-66.01.
- 16:21Z setup, P1, salience 65: EXR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 161.98 above 161.47 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 160.34-161.47.
- 16:21Z setup, P1, salience 63: BBY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 106.04 above 105.64 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 101.57-105.64.
- 16:22Z setup, P1, salience 86: BCS new session high: closed 23.105 above 23.08 on 5.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.84-22.97.
- 16:22Z setup, P1, salience 86: LW new session high: closed 56.78 above 56.64 on 16.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 55.03-55.87.
- 16:22Z setup, P1, salience 77: NFG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 73.91 above 73.22 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 73.22-73.22.
- 16:22Z setup, P1, salience 77: EQNR new session high: closed 41.315 above 41.27 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 40.74-41.11.
- 16:22Z setup, P1, salience 69: UNM new session high: closed 80.94 above 80.76 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 78.29-79.48.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $9989.43 (-0.11%) · today +0.87% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 105.51 (1.71%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 390.99 (1.86%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 138.66 (1.19%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 306.27 (0.71%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252.48 (1.41%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.585 (0.10%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 197.055 (-1.00%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET.… [cut: 16,224 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 16:22 ET, well past the 16:00 closing window. The brief shows P1 setups (CVLT, BAP, etc.) that broke out today, but they lack confirmed catalysts (news is absent or just anomalies). Per the rules, no new entries are allowed in the closing window, and intraday positions must be closed by code before the bell. I have no positions to manage or exit. The book holds 11 stocks, none of which are triggered for sale by the rules or news. I am holding."
}