Episode · the market · Nov 9, 1:37 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T18:37Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 18:33Z setup, P1, salience 87: HON new session high: closed 230.835 above 230.12 on 6.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 223.2-224.97.
- 18:33Z setup, P1, salience 75: TT new session high: closed 421.93 above 421.32 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 407.9-415.67.
- 18:33Z setup, P1, salience 65: BMY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 62.58 above 62.51 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 61.86-62.51.
- 18:33Z setup, P1, salience 62: FTV new session high: closed 67.51 above 67.44 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 66.01-66.56.
- 18:34Z setup, P1, salience 86: CHDN new session high: closed 99.82 above 99.6 on 5.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 98.25-99.09.
- 18:34Z setup, P1, salience 75: BMRN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 57.055 above 56.55 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 55.1-56.55.
- 18:34Z setup, P1, salience 73: NKE new session high: closed 40.025 above 39.99 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 38.78-38.96.
- 18:34Z setup, P1, salience 68: BURL new session high: closed 255.33 above 255 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 249.88-253.84.
- 18:35Z setup, P1, salience 65: TSLA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 376.975 above 376.05 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 361.01-376.05.
- 18:35Z setup, P1, salience 63: FNV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 264.47 above 263.74 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 261.46-263.74.
- 18:36Z setup, P1, salience 87: AMRX new session high: closed 21.32 above 21.24 on 24.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 20.38-20.55.
- 18:36Z setup, P1, salience 68: CPB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 22.955 above 22.91 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.79-22.91.
- 18:36Z setup, P1, salience 67: SJM new session high: closed 133.96 above 133.8 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 130.44-131.17.
- 18:36Z setup, P1, salience 66: DD new session high: closed 154.8 above 154.37 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 150.5-150.97.
- 18:36Z setup, P1, salience 66: TXRH new session high: closed 190.11 above 189.59 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 186.23-186.93.
- 18:37Z setup, P1, salience 73: VIAV new session high: closed 31.81 above 31.73 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 29.27-30.02.
- 18:37Z setup, P1, salience 68: SPXC new session high: closed 152.26 above 151.98 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 146.6-146.96.
- 18:37Z setup, P1, salience 65: WMT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 125.415 above 124.77 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 123.66-124.77.
- 18:37Z setup, P1, salience 62: ALGN new session high: closed 174.93 above 174.62 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 166.72-167.74.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10056.32 (+0.56%) · today +1.55% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.565 (2.79%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.53 (1.36%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 139.465 (1.85%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 310.865 (2.22%), stop 287.16, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252.515 (1.49%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.88 (0.29%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 198.685 (-0.14%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 752.43 (0.63%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.25 (-1.34%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-man… [cut: 15,277 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [
    {
      "subject": "MARKET",
      "text": "Closing window (17:00-18:00 ET) is active. No new entries allowed. All observed setups (HON, TT, BMY, FTV, CHDN, BMRN, NKE, BURL, TSLA, FNV, AMRX, CPB, SJM, DD, TXRH, VIAV, SPXC, WMT, ALGN) are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts (news absent or unconfirmed anomalies). Book holds 11 stocks; no exits triggered. Cash $239.54."
    }
  ],
  "reply": "It is 18:37 ET, well past the 18:00 ET closing window. No new entries are allowed. All observed setups are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts, and the book holds 11 stocks with no exits triggered."
}