Episode · the market · Nov 9, 11:27 AM

NOW: 2026-11-09T16:27Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 16:23Z setup, P1, salience 70: SNA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 373.51 above 371.89 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 371.45-371.89.
- 16:23Z setup, P1, salience 68: BBY new session high: closed 106.34 above 106.16 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 101.57-105.64.
- 16:24Z setup, P1, salience 70: OKE new session high: closed 86.26 above 86.17 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 84.59-85.49.
- 16:24Z setup, P1, salience 63: V opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 422.91 above 421.57 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 419.29-421.57.
- 16:25Z setup, P1, salience 86: AEP new session high: closed 127.82 above 127.62 on 8.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 126.27-126.85.
- 16:25Z setup, P1, salience 83: WEX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 184.42 above 182.89 on 4.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 182.53-182.89.
- 16:25Z setup, P1, salience 79: SO new session high: closed 93.305 above 93.2 on 4.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 91.98-92.67.
- 16:25Z setup, P1, salience 78: APA new session high: closed 44.64 above 44.57 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 43.49-44.32.
- 16:25Z setup, P1, salience 72: LIN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 519.87 above 516.63 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 513.2-516.63.
- 16:26Z setup, P1, salience 86: NTES opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 129.5 above 129.35 on 6.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 129.2-129.35.
- 16:26Z setup, P1, salience 83: BOIL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 18.08 above 18.04 on 4.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 17.86-18.04.
- 16:26Z setup, P1, salience 78: EIX new session high: closed 60.22 above 60.13 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 59.5-59.72.
- 16:26Z setup, P1, salience 72: CBRE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 138.95 above 138.79 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 138.25-138.79.
- 16:26Z setup, P1, salience 69: JNJ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 279.1 above 278.82 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 277.39-278.82.
- 16:27Z setup, P1, salience 86: OVV new session high: closed 61.14 above 61.06 on 9.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 59.66-60.12.
- 16:27Z setup, P1, salience 76: JQUA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 74.8 above 74.3 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 74.1-74.3.
- 16:27Z setup, P1, salience 66: IDXX new session high: closed 691.67 above 690.88 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 682.51-688.01.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $9969.41 (-0.31%) · today +0.67% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 105.11 (1.44%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 390.76 (1.73%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 138.26 (0.91%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 304.585 (0.17%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252.375 (1.43%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.545 (0.11%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 196.86 (-1.13%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 750.055 (0.32%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 51.915 (-2.00%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% a… [cut: 13,836 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 16:27Z, past the closing window (16:00Z). No new entries are allowed. The book holds 11 stocks with no exits triggered. Cash is $239.54. I am holding the course."
}