Episode · the market · Nov 10, 11:18 AM

NOW: 2026-11-10T16:18Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 16:14Z setup, P1, salience 80: AKAM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 82.45 above 81.8 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 78.75-81.8.
- 16:14Z setup, P1, salience 75: DKS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 147.93 above 144.46 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 144.46-144.46.
- 16:15Z setup, P1, salience 86: ESS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 273.76 above 273.45 on 6.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 273.45-273.45.
- 16:15Z setup, P1, salience 86: BRO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 70.985 above 70.91 on 9.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 70.54-70.91.
- 16:15Z setup, P1, salience 77: JKHY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 173.105 above 171.09 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 171-171.09.
- 16:16Z setup, P1, salience 87: CMCSA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 24.54 above 24.45 on 7.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 24.25-24.45.
- 16:16Z setup, P1, salience 87: WSM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 258.78 above 257.97 on 5.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 257.97-257.97.
- 16:16Z setup, P1, salience 86: IWY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 268.86 above 268.51 on 6× its median minute volume today; opening range 268.51-268.51.
- 16:16Z setup, P1, salience 86: GLL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 26.38 above 26.34 on 24.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 26.3-26.34.
- 16:16Z setup, P1, salience 74: HSIC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 88.38 above 88.2 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 88.2-88.2.
- 16:17Z setup, P1, salience 70: CTAS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 223.125 above 222.77 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 222.04-222.77.
- 16:18Z setup, P1, salience 86: TRI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 108.24 above 108.05 on 5.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 106.95-108.05.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3447.57 · equity $10227.97 (+2.28%) · today +0.09% · 9 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 387.99 (1.07%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 249.1 (0.04%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.1 (0.40%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 191.83 (-3.57%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.555 (-0.11%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 747.355 (-0.07%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 50.1 (-5.51%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 141.09 (-1.89%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 348.8 (-1.07%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 0/3 in the last hour, 1/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2556.99). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 3/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $3243.01 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2557); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; overnight and multi-day ones stay. Stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders, and once a positi… [cut: 12,885 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "The session is closing (16:18Z ET). The brief states new buys are allowed in the regular session, but the closing window rules (17:00-18:00 ET) and the note logic for the closing window prohibit new entries to ensure they are multi-day/overnight positions. Even if allowed, none of the setups have confirmed catalysts (news absent or unconfirmed anomalies) to justify a new entry at this late stage. No changes to existing positions are needed."
}