Episode · the market · Nov 9, 12:57 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T17:57Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 17:53Z setup, P1, salience 86: TVTX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 50.61 above 50.47 on 6.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 49.89-50.47.
- 17:54Z setup, P1, salience 86: MOS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 23.035 above 22.98 on 5.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.39-22.98.
- 17:54Z setup, P1, salience 73: AVY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 188.61 above 187.25 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 187.25-187.25.
- 17:54Z setup, P1, salience 69: TOL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 156.2 above 155.88 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 154.4-155.88.
- 17:54Z setup, P1, salience 68: MKC new session high: closed 48.35 above 48.29 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 47.84-48.09.
- 17:54Z setup, P1, salience 64: QBTS new session high: closed 11.515 above 11.5 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 10.5-10.76.
- 17:55Z setup, P1, salience 95: IWY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 270.62 above 264.92 on 9.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 264.92-264.92.
- 17:55Z setup, P1, salience 82: GLPI new session high: closed 39.57 above 39.52 on 4.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 39.03-39.2.
- 17:55Z setup, P1, salience 67: PEG new session high: closed 74.93 above 74.8 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 73.1-73.65.
- 17:55Z setup, P1, salience 67: TSN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 59.835 above 59.67 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 59.43-59.67.
- 17:55Z setup, P1, salience 65: PKG new session high: closed 256.18 above 255.8 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 251.98-252.
- 17:56Z setup, P1, salience 86: SGI new session high: closed 65.78 above 65.69 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 62.97-65.49.
- 17:56Z setup, P1, salience 75: RH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 137.37 above 135.22 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 132.43-135.22.
- 17:56Z setup, P1, salience 69: CHDN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 99.25 above 99.09 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 98.25-99.09.
- 17:57Z setup, P1, salience 86: OKLO new session high: closed 26.89 above 26.84 on 9.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.8-23.79.
- 17:57Z setup, P1, salience 71: MDLN new session high: closed 40.775 above 40.73 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 39.84-40.08.
- 17:57Z setup, P1, salience 66: VYLR new session high: closed 71.985 above 71.9 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 70.01-70.7.
- 17:57Z setup, P1, salience 63: URA new session high: closed 34.175 above 34.13 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 33.07-33.35.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10064.59 (+0.65%) · today +1.63% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.95 (3.00%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 390.42 (1.72%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 139.66 (1.97%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 310.87 (2.20%), stop 287.16, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 253.155 (1.77%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.7 (0.17%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 199.025 (0.03%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 752.575 (0.65%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.485 (-0.92%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day hori… [cut: 14,966 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "The closing window (17:00-18:00 ET) is active, so no new entries are allowed. All observed setups are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts. Book holds 11 stocks with no exits triggered."
}