Episode · the market · Nov 9, 1:12 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T18:12Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 18:09Z setup, P1, salience 82: LOW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 233.64 above 231.85 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 229.69-231.85.
- 18:09Z setup, P1, salience 80: HR new session high: closed 19.46 above 19.43 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 19.22-19.28.
- 18:09Z setup, P1, salience 70: PGX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 10.04 above 10.01 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 9.97-10.01.
- 18:09Z setup, P1, salience 69: AHR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 58.67 above 58.58 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 58.06-58.58.
- 18:10Z setup, P1, salience 83: PCVX new session high: closed 66.51 above 66.44 on 4.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 64.32-64.64.
- 18:10Z setup, P1, salience 76: CDE new session high: closed 16.5 above 16.45 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 16.2-16.41.
- 18:10Z setup, P1, salience 66: DOV new session high: closed 212.71 above 212.41 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 206.52-207.45.
- 18:10Z setup, P1, salience 65: FISV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 63.94 above 63.87 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 63.1-63.87.
- 18:10Z setup, P1, salience 65: AWI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 178.56 above 178.17 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 175.5-178.17.
- 18:11Z setup, P1, salience 86: ACI new session high: closed 12.835 above 12.82 on 13.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 12.68-12.76.
- 18:11Z setup, P1, salience 86: MCK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 1066.675 above 1065.52 on 6.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 1061.18-1065.52.
- 18:11Z setup, P1, salience 86: EHC new session high: closed 140.44 above 140.25 on 5.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 138.27-138.94.
- 18:11Z setup, P1, salience 65: EPRT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 28.195 above 28.16 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 28.02-28.16.
- 18:11Z setup, P1, salience 63: Z new session high: closed 30.14 above 30.06 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 29.42-29.9.
- 18:12Z setup, P1, salience 86: BOOT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 136.66 above 136.01 on 4.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 136.01-136.01.
- 18:12Z setup, P1, salience 66: LQDA new session high: closed 48.17 above 48.12 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 45.19-46.62.
- 18:12Z setup, P1, salience 63: FND opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 53.83 above 53.75 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 52.41-53.75.
- 18:12Z setup, P1, salience 63: NVO new session high: closed 41.395 above 41.34 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 40.59-41.01.
- 18:12Z setup, P1, salience 62: IBB new session high: closed 219.49 above 219.09 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 213.42-216.2.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10072.10 (+0.72%) · today +1.71% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.78 (3.06%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.28 (1.38%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 139.51 (1.86%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 312.86 (2.78%), stop 287.16, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252.595 (1.53%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.88 (0.28%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 198.7 (-0.07%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 752.74 (0.68%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.47 (-1.00%), sto… [cut: 15,146 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [
    {
      "subject": "MARKET",
      "text": "Closing window (17:00-18:00 ET) is active. No new entries allowed. All observed setups (LOW, HR, PGX, AHR, PCVX, CDE, DOV, FISV, AWI, ACI, MCK, EHC, EPRT, Z, BOOT, LQDA, FND, NVO, IBB) are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts (news absent or unconfirmed anomalies). Book holds 11 stocks; no exits triggered. Cash $239.54."
    }
  ],
  "reply": "Closing window is active; no new entries allowed. All observed setups are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts. Book holds 11 stocks; no exits triggered."
}