Episode · the market · Nov 6, 10:51 AM

NOW: 2026-11-06T15:51Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:47Z setup, P1, salience 86: FBIN new session high: closed 47.435 above 47.33 on 5.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 45.68-46.34.
- 15:47Z setup, P1, salience 67: KEY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 21 above 20.95 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 20.76-20.95.
- 15:47Z setup, P1, salience 66: GGG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 67.59 above 67.51 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 67.51-67.51.
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 77: LYB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 61.53 above 61.47 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 60.97-61.47.
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 72: NTES opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 129.36 above 128.52 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 127.65-128.52.
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 70: SIRI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 32.585 above 32.53 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 32.28-32.53.
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 70: SLV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 46.74 above 46.66 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 46.41-46.66.
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 65: SM new session high: closed 30.625 above 30.56 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 29.63-30.04.
- 15:49Z setup, P1, salience 80: CHRD new session high: closed 136.195 above 135.53 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 131.73-133.3.
- 15:49Z setup, P1, salience 70: PHM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 133.5 above 132.26 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 131.25-132.26.
- 15:49Z setup, P1, salience 70: KEX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 121.1 above 120.55 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 120.55-120.55.
- 15:49Z setup, P1, salience 66: HYD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 49.68 above 49.6 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 49.47-49.6.
- 15:49Z setup, P1, salience 65: ARMK new session high: closed 51.615 above 51.55 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 50.34-51.05.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 86: OKLO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 22.44 above 22.39 on 7.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 20.97-22.39.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 80: GTX new session high: closed 20.195 above 20.16 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 19.51-19.81.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 75: USFD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 106.31 above 105.97 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 105.96-105.97.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 75: J new session high: closed 148.21 above 147.89 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 144.89-146.2.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 69: GMAB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 52.46 above 52.4 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 51.31-52.4.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 86: LOAR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 72.415 above 72.33 on 20.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 72.33-72.33.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 86: BAP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 355.59 above 352.97 on 4.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 352.97-352.97.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 85: MTZ new session high: closed 167.6 above 167.25 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 163.48-166.2.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 82: SYRE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 100.01 above 98.85 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 98.85-98.85.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 76: TKR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 101.565 above 101.28 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 100-101.28.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $9795.13 · equity $9901.59 (-0.98%) · today +0.01% · 1 stocks, 0 options positions
- TNA: 2 shares at 52.95, now 53.21 (0.52%), stop 52.5, target 55.5, intraday horizon, opened 9:47 AM ET. Thesis: TNA shows the cleanest intraday breakout among the 5 candidates: price closed 53.115 above the 15-min OR high of 52.85 on 5.8× median volume, with a tight 51.84-53.13 range and no negative news. Daily trend is down but RSI 39.7 is not oversold, and the 5-day decline (-7.8%) is modest. Entry at ~53.12, stop at OR low 51.84 (2.4% risk), target 55.50 (4.4% reward, R:R ~1.8). Size 2.5% of equity ($247.50) to keep risk small in a volatile market (-3.5% SPY). Invalidation: Reclaim below 52.85 (OR high) or a broad market selloff accelerating.

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 3/4 entries in 24 h, 0/2 in the last hour, 1/4 open; $990 more can be committed this hour; an entry is 50% of what the risk checks allow; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 24 h after a stop-out or 6 h after an exit.
- Risk checks: at most 25% of equity per position ($2475.4); 1/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (≥ 8 for an overnight buy in the closing window, and none intraday then); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $9597.1 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2475); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders.

MARKET
- SPY 740.72 (-3.39%), QQQ 660.53 (-4.5%), IWM 272.81, DIA 515.6042, VIXY 19.97, TLT 81.9999

SUBJECT FBIN
- 47.41; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT KEY
- 21.03; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT GGG
- 67.52; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
3e06fe6f1e17 [Nov 6, 9:48 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 88 | +0.0% since] GGG -0.71% in 1 min (z -6.49 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT LYB
- 61.54; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT NTES
- 129.585; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT SIRI
- 32.645; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT SLV
- 46.88; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT SM
- 30.67; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT CHRD
- 136.26; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT PHM
- 133.59; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT KEX
- 121.1; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT HYD
- 49.69; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT ARMK
- 51.695; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
65410524f771 [Nov 6, 9:41 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 55 | +1.4% since] ARMK +0.75% in 1 min (z 4.03 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT OKLO
- 22.56; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
085552d7152c [Nov 6, 10:07 AM ET | T2 benzinga.com | earnings | sev 51 | +1.5% since] Oklo Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (https://www.benzinga.com/news/26/11/62982406/oklo-q3-2026-earnings-call-transcript)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT GTX
- 2… [cut: 11,386 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "SPY is down -3.39% and QQQ -4.5%, a broad market selloff. The setups are late-session breakouts on heavy volume, but with no fundamental catalysts and a collapsing market, the risk of a reversal or gap-down is high. I will hold TNA and manage its stop, but I will not add new positions in this environment."
}