Episode · the market · Nov 9, 1:02 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T18:02Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 17:58Z setup, P1, salience 69: AZO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 3267.1 above 3254.14 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 3240-3254.14.
- 17:59Z setup, P1, salience 66: GME new session high: closed 25.68 above 25.64 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 24.68-25.35.
- 17:59Z setup, P1, salience 62: DIS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 118.53 above 118.38 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 117.7-118.38.
- 17:59Z setup, P1, salience 62: SWK new session high: closed 119.575 above 119.46 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 116.73-118.27.
- 18:00Z setup, P1, salience 78: QXO new session high: closed 13.88 above 13.79 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 12.49-13.2.
- 18:00Z setup, P1, salience 73: IFF new session high: closed 85.33 above 85.13 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 83.41-84.08.
- 18:00Z setup, P1, salience 68: TRU new session high: closed 83.18 above 82.89 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 81.02-81.46.
- 18:01Z setup, P1, salience 86: MRSH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 206.345 above 206.12 on 11.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 205.56-206.12.
- 18:01Z setup, P1, salience 86: SYY new session high: closed 78.45 above 78.32 on 6.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 76.99-77.44.
- 18:01Z setup, P1, salience 84: LPX new session high: closed 78.43 above 78.32 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 77.51-77.76.
- 18:01Z setup, P1, salience 77: ACI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 12.785 above 12.76 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 12.68-12.76.
- 18:01Z setup, P1, salience 76: CROX new session high: closed 161.3 above 160.97 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 155.18-155.9.
- 18:02Z setup, P1, salience 85: AZN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 189.35 above 188.98 on 4.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 187.56-188.98.
- 18:02Z setup, P1, salience 81: MMM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 188.85 above 188.43 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 186.01-188.43.
- 18:02Z setup, P1, salience 73: PEN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 320.88 above 320.38 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 320.05-320.38.
- 18:02Z setup, P1, salience 69: SUPN new session high: closed 27.83 above 27.74 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 26.12-26.71.
- 18:02Z setup, P1, salience 64: Z opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 29.98 above 29.9 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 29.42-29.9.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10068.47 (+0.68%) · today +1.67% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 107.06 (3.09%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.82 (1.62%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 139.355 (1.69%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 311.41 (2.62%), stop 287.16, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 253.195 (1.70%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.795 (0.21%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 198.2 (-0.34%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 752.64 (0.66%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.545 (-0.83%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (str… [cut: 14,470 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 18:02Z ET, inside the closing window (17:00-18:00 ET). Per the rules, no new entries are allowed in the closing window. All observed setups are ignored. Book positions are held as is."
}