Episode · the market · Nov 9, 9:56 AM

NOW: 2026-11-09T14:56Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 14:52Z setup, P1, salience 92: WRBY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 29.03 above 28.62 on 8.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 25.73-28.62.
- 14:52Z setup, P1, salience 87: PH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 939.03 above 935.33 on 5.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 932.05-935.33.
- 14:52Z setup, P1, salience 86: TSCO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 37.24 above 37.2 on 12.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 36.76-37.2.
- 14:52Z setup, P1, salience 86: PLD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 129.2 above 128.99 on 5.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 127.84-128.99.
- 14:52Z setup, P1, salience 81: PL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 13.64 above 13.22 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 12.67-13.22.
- 14:53Z setup, P1, salience 91: LSCC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 110.015 above 108.62 on 5.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 107.52-108.62.
- 14:53Z setup, P1, salience 90: CGNX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 49.95 above 49.41 on 5× its median minute volume today; opening range 48.44-49.41.
- 14:53Z setup, P1, salience 89: MMED opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 17.125 above 16.99 on 59.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 16.85-16.99.
- 14:53Z setup, P1, salience 88: PANW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 322.2299 above 320.59 on 6.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 314.38-320.59.
- 14:53Z setup, P1, salience 88: CFG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 64.9 above 64.54 on 6.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 64.1-64.54.
- 14:54Z setup, P1, salience 93: GLXY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 13.92 above 13.7 on 6.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 13.03-13.7.
- 14:54Z setup, P1, salience 90: DY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 216.53 above 214.32 on 6× its median minute volume today; opening range 210.56-214.32.
- 14:54Z setup, P1, salience 90: HTFL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 55.78 above 55.24 on 7.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 53.16-55.24.
- 14:54Z setup, P1, salience 87: PLTR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 168.01 above 166.15 on 4.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 162.5-166.15.
- 14:54Z setup, P1, salience 86: FITB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 53.99 above 53.92 on 5.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 53.52-53.92.
- 14:55Z setup, P1, salience 91: MDB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 324.97 above 320.81 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 315.26-320.81.
- 14:55Z setup, P1, salience 86: VOO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 687.265 above 686.36 on 15.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 681.6-686.36.
- 14:55Z setup, P1, salience 84: ADM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 70.03 above 69.88 on 4.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 69.04-69.88.
- 14:55Z setup, P1, salience 84: LNG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 280.74 above 277.48 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 274.17-277.48.
- 14:55Z setup, P1, salience 82: AEHR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 57.3 above 56.25 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 53.5-56.25.
- 14:56Z setup, P1, salience 95: PRAX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 300.72 above 289.5 on 5.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 281.67-289.5.
- 14:56Z setup, P1, salience 90: ESI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 32.99 above 32.69 on 7.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 32.08-32.69.
- 14:56Z setup, P1, salience 89: ALLY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 38.83 above 38.53 on 30.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 37.78-38.53.
- 14:56Z setup, P1, salience 89: DAR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 51.83 above 50.59 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 50-50.59.
- 14:56Z setup, P1, salience 89: MXL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 52.84 above 51.78 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 49.37-51.78.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $6043.79 · equity $9924.65 (-0.75%) · today +0.22% · 2 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 105.075 (0.97%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 136.99 (-0.18%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 2/3 in the last hour, 2/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2481.16). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 2/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $5845.3 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2481); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; overnight and multi-day ones stay. Stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders, and once a position is up by its stop distance code trails its stop at that distance behind the price.

MARKET
- SPY 747.635 (+1.66%), QQQ 672.67 (+2.49%), IWM 279.23, DIA 519.43, VIXY 19.2, TLT 82.09

SUBJECT WRBY
- 29.295; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT PH
- 941.8; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT TSCO
- 37.09; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT PLD
- 129.21; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT PL
- 13.65; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT LSCC
- 110.1; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT CGNX
- 49.98; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feed… [cut: 13,341 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [
    {
      "symbol": "PRAX",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": null,
      "sell_pct": null,
      "stop_loss": 281.67,
      "take_profit": 340,
      "horizon": "multi_day",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 8,
      "rationale": "PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst.",
      "evidence": [],
      "invalidation": "Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    },
    {
      "symbol": "PLTR",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": null,
      "sell_pct": null,
      "stop_loss": 162.5,
      "take_profit": 185,
      "horizon": "multi_day",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 7,
      "rationale": "PLTR broke its 15-min opening range (162.50-166.15) on 4.5x volume, closing at 168.01. The setup is supported by a T2 Fool.com article highlighting PLTR as a buy after strong earnings, providing a positive sentiment catalyst. The stock is in a strong uptrend (price above SMA50/200, near 52-week high). The stop at the opening range low (162.50) is 3.3% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the target of 185. The combination of technical breakout and positive news makes this a strong candidate.",
      "evidence": [],
      "invalidation": "Price closes below the opening range low of 162.50.",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    }
  ],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "Bought PRAX and PLTR on their opening-range breakouts, backed by SEC filings and positive earnings sentiment respectively. Both have tight stops at the OR lows and clear upside targets."
}