Episode · the market · Nov 3, 11:13 AM

NOW: 2026-11-03T16:13Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 81: UBER opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 66.84 above 66.72 on 4.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 66.04-66.72.
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 77: XYZ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 77.235 above 77.11 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 76.16-77.11.
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 71: ALGM new session high: closed 34.81 above 34.66 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 33.02-33.83.
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 69: SWKS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 86.18 above 85.94 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 85.19-85.94.
- 16:09Z setup, P1, salience 64: EXPD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 201.535 above 201.23 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 198.84-201.23.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 87: GRID opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 167.72 above 167.19 on 6.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 165.74-167.19.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 75: FRT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 110.87 above 110.51 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 110.51-110.51.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 63: KNX new session high: closed 62.9 above 62.8 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 61.81-62.24.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 63: VRSK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 197.39 above 196.81 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 196.39-196.81.
- 16:10Z setup, P1, salience 62: EXPD new session high: closed 201.97 above 201.54 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 198.84-201.23.
- 16:11Z setup, P1, salience 73: VRSK new session high: closed 198.05 above 197.5 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 196.39-196.81.
- 16:11Z setup, P1, salience 68: TEX new session high: closed 59.28 above 59.14 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 57.83-58.15.
- 16:11Z setup, P1, salience 67: GWRE new session high: closed 162.46 above 162.24 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 159.17-159.97.
- 16:11Z setup, P1, salience 67: TDY new session high: closed 668.6 above 667.64 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 660.37-664.04.
- 16:11Z setup, P1, salience 63: TSCO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 35.345 above 35.21 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 34.6-35.21.
- 16:12Z setup, P1, salience 92: NDSN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 333.76 above 328.9 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 328.45-328.9.
- 16:12Z setup, P1, salience 87: RDAC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 11 above 10.95 on 5.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 10.95-10.95.
- 16:12Z setup, P1, salience 86: UDR new session high: closed 35.725 above 35.67 on 9.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 35.21-35.39.
- 16:12Z setup, P1, salience 86: VT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 155.64 above 155.43 on 10.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 155.29-155.43.
- 16:12Z setup, P1, salience 72: COCO new session high: closed 59.06 above 58.65 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 57.87-57.87.
- 16:13Z setup, P1, salience 86: IWF opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 117.84 above 117.7 on 11.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 116.9-117.7.
- 16:13Z setup, P1, salience 73: IWY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 277.355 above 276.17 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 276.17-276.17.
- 16:13Z setup, P1, salience 73: GVA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 133.89 above 130.49 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 130.49-130.49.
- 16:13Z setup, P1, salience 72: PCTY new session high: closed 174.87 above 174.54 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 171.3-171.3.
- 16:13Z setup, P1, salience 67: PBF opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 78.345 above 78.23 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 76.14-78.23.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $9900.47 · equity $9900.47 (-1%) · today +0.1% · 0 stocks, 0 options positions
- no stock positions

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 3/4 entries in 24 h, 1/2 in the last hour, 0/4 open; $912 more can be committed this hour; an entry is 50% of what the risk checks allow; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 24 h after a stop-out or 6 h after an exit.
- Risk checks: at most 25% of equity per position ($2475.12); 0/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (≥ 8 for an overnight buy in the closing window, and none intraday then); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $9702.46 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2475); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders.

MARKET
- SPY 756.325 (+0.08%), QQQ 687.8 (-0.4%), IWM 281.95, DIA 518.27, VIXY 18.18, TLT 81.32

SUBJECT UBER
- 66.885; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT XYZ
- 77.07; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
3311ad3eed77 [Nov 3, 3:49 AM ET | T2 benzinga.com | earnings | sev 51] XYZ Stock Has Climbed 18% in 2026 — Jack Dorsey's Block Eyes 6th Straight Earnings Beat Ahead of Q3 Results (https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/26/11/62807399/block-q3-earnings-preview-jack-dorsey-xyz)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT ALGM
- 34.815; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT SWKS
- 86.16; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT EXPD
- 201.705; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
8af9e752aba0 [Nov 3, 9:51 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 88 | +0.6% since] EXPD +0.75% in 1 min (z 7.46 after removing SPY's move)
e81c9718afab [Nov 3, 10:09 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 55 | +1.1% since] EXPD -0.43% in 1 min (z -4.02 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT GRID
- 167.72; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT FRT
- 110.87; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
1d2c1535c56b [Nov 2, 4:34 PM ET | T1 sec.gov | offering | sev 65] FRT 424B7: FEDERAL REALTY INVESTMENT TRUST (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/34903/000119312526443759/0001193125-26-443759-index.htm)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT KNX
- 62.97; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
97c116a86a2f [Nov 3, 9:51 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 61 | +2.1% since] KNX -0.95% in 5 min (z -4.46 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT VRSK
- 198.05; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT TEX
- 59.215; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT GWRE
- 162.46; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT TDY
- 668.65; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT TSCO
- 35.335; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the las… [cut: 10,373 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [
    {
      "symbol": "NDSN",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": 10,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 325,
      "take_profit": 345,
      "horizon": "intraday",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 7,
      "rationale": "NDSN broke its 15-min opening range (328.9) on 5.2x volume, closing at 333.76. Price is above VWAP (331.44) and SMAs, with RSI 59 indicating room to run. Target 345 (+3.6%) offers >1.5:1 reward vs stop at 325 (-2.6%).",
      "evidence": [
        "Closed 333.76 above OR 328.9 on 5.2x median volume.",
        "Daily SMA20 326.46, SMA50 323.36; price above both.",
        "5-min VWAP 331.44; price holds above VWAP."
      ],
      "invalidation": "Close below 328.9 (OR low) or 325 (stop).",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    },
    {
      "symbol": "VT",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": 10,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 153,
      "take_profit": 160,
      "horizon": "intraday",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 6,
      "rationale": "VT broke its 15-min opening range (155.43) on massive 10.8x volume, closing at 155.64. RSI 66.4 shows strength. Target 160 (+2.8%) vs stop at 153 (-1.6%) gives >1.7:1 reward. Caution: price below SMA20/50, but volume breakout suggests momentum.",
      "evidence": [
        "Closed 155.64 above OR 155.43 on 10.8x median volume.",
        "5-min VWAP 155.4; price holds above VWAP.",
        "RSI 66.4 on 5-min chart."
      ],
      "invalidation": "Close below 155.43 (OR low) or 153 (stop).",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    },
    {
      "symbol": "UBER",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": 10,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 65.5,
      "take_profit": 69,
      "horizon": "intraday",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 6,
      "rationale": "UBER broke its 15-min opening range (66.72) on 4.4x volume, closing at 66.885. Price above VWAP (66.54). Target 69 (+3.1%) vs stop at 65.5 (-2.1%) gives >1.4:1 reward. Caution: price well below SMAs and 52-week high; momentum play only.",
      "evidence": [
        "Closed 66.885 above OR 66.72 on 4.4x median volume.",
        "5-min VWAP 66.54; price holds above VWAP.",
        "RSI 65.8 on 5-min chart."
      ],
      "invalidation": "Close below 66.72 (OR low) or 65.5 (stop).",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    }
  ],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [
    {
      "subject": "NDSN",
      "text": "Broke OR 328.9 on 5.2x vol. Target 345. Stop 325."
    },
    {
      "subject": "VT",
      "text": "Broke OR 155.43 on 10.8x vol. Target 160. Stop 153."
    },
    {
      "subject": "UBER",
      "text": "Broke OR 66.72 on 4.4x vol. Target 69. Stop 65.5."
    }
  ],
  "reply": "Bought NDSN, VT, and UBER on opening-range breakouts with heavy volume. NDSN (+5.2x vol) and VT (+10.8x vol) showed the strongest volume surges. UBER broke on 4.4x vol but is below key SMAs, so sized conservatively. All intraday, with stops below OR lows and targets at recent highs/resistance."
}