Episode · the market · Nov 10, 10:33 AM

NOW: 2026-11-10T15:33Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:29Z setup, P1, salience 63: ICE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 174.71 above 174.52 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 173.82-174.52.
- 15:30Z setup, P1, salience 89: AVT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 85.795 above 85.06 on 20.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 84.71-85.06.
- 15:30Z setup, P1, salience 69: RMBS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 80.755 above 79.65 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 79.46-79.65.
- 15:31Z setup, P1, salience 72: CHTR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 122.65 above 122.43 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 119.88-122.43.
- 15:31Z setup, P1, salience 65: GDDY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 112.72 above 111.88 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 111.88-111.88.
- 15:31Z setup, P1, salience 63: LNTH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 101.415 above 101.31 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 101.08-101.31.
- 15:32Z setup, P1, salience 82: ONC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 418.995 above 417.43 on 4.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 416.12-417.43.
- 15:32Z setup, P1, salience 66: TSN new session high: closed 60.375 above 60.27 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 59.54-60.02.
- 15:32Z setup, P1, salience 65: BEN new session high: closed 36.415 above 36.34 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 35.75-36.
- 15:32Z setup, P1, salience 64: IONQ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 35.25 above 35.2 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 34.18-35.2.
- 15:33Z setup, P1, salience 76: TSLA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 377.95 above 376.91 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 371.75-376.91.
- 15:33Z setup, P1, salience 73: AYI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 332.77 above 331.91 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 331.91-331.91.
- 15:33Z setup, P1, salience 65: QNT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 42.61 above 42.37 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 39.62-42.37.
- 15:33Z setup, P1, salience 63: CIEN new session high: closed 282.375 above 281.3 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 262.96-272.28.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3447.57 · equity $10243.47 (+2.43%) · today +0.25% · 9 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 388.08 (1.16%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 248.47 (-0.13%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.08 (0.38%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 195.13 (-1.98%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.625 (0.30%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 750.065 (0.32%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 50.67 (-4.35%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 139.76 (-2.70%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 347.91 (-1.29%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 2/3 in the last hour, 1/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2560.87). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 3/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $3242.7 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2561); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits defa… [cut: 15,093 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 15:33 ET, inside the closing window (17:00-18:00 ET). Per the rules, no new entries are allowed in the closing window. All observed setups (ICE, AVT, RMBS, CHTR, GDDY, LNTH, ONC, TSN, BEN, IONQ, TSLA, AYI, QNT, CIEN) are ignored. No exits are triggered for any held positions. Cash remains $3447.57."
}