Episode · the market · Nov 10, 10:53 AM

NOW: 2026-11-10T15:53Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:49Z setup, P1, salience 66: SHAK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 76.9 above 76.56 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 76.56-76.56.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 87: GDDY new session high: closed 113.43 above 112.9 on 5.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 111.88-111.88.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 86: CHDN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 99.02 above 98.92 on 27.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 98.92-98.92.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 63: AIG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 80.66 above 80.5 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 80.26-80.5.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 88: OLLI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 95 above 94.48 on 11× its median minute volume today; opening range 94.08-94.48.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 87: ZSL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 36.57 above 36.45 on 13.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 35.89-36.45.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 86: SPXU opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 36.85 above 36.77 on 5.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 36.52-36.77.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 86: SPXS new session high: closed 26.21 above 26.18 on 149× its median minute volume today; opening range 26-26.14.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 86: SGRY new session high: closed 26.675 above 26.63 on 5.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 26.42-26.55.
- 15:52Z setup, P1, salience 71: SPXU new session high: closed 36.89 above 36.85 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 36.52-36.77.
- 15:52Z setup, P1, salience 64: CB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 366.39 above 365.58 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 365.58-365.58.
- 15:53Z setup, P1, salience 76: EMBJ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 82.55 above 81.91 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 80.75-81.91.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3447.57 · equity $10204.14 (+2.04%) · today -0.14% · 9 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 387.695 (0.88%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 248.2 (-0.26%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.085 (0.37%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 194.19 (-2.39%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.33 (-0.98%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 746.21 (-0.15%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 50.045 (-5.37%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 140.45 (-2.34%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 347.06 (-1.50%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 0/3 in the last hour, 1/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2551.04). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 3/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $3243.49 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2551); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; overnight and multi-day ones stay. Stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders, and once a position is up by its stop distance code trails its stop at that distance behind the price.

MARKET
- SP… [cut: 12,441 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "The session is in the closing window (15:53Z ET); per the brief, no new entries are allowed. All observed setups are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts, and the book holds 9 stocks with no exits triggered. Cash remains $3,447.57."
}