Episode · the market · Nov 10, 2:47 PM

NOW: 2026-11-10T19:47Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 19:43Z setup, P1, salience 67: VIG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 249.81 above 248.94 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 248.21-248.94.
- 19:44Z setup, P1, salience 86: SRLN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 40.09 above 40.05 on 6.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 40.01-40.05.
- 19:44Z setup, P1, salience 86: BOIL new session high: closed 19.105 above 19.09 on 6.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 18.62-18.76.
- 19:46Z setup, P1, salience 80: FERG new session high: closed 260.2 above 259.82 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 255.54-257.35.
- 19:47Z setup, P1, salience 86: AMCR new session high: closed 45.35 above 45.3 on 7.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 44.49-44.98.
- 19:47Z setup, P1, salience 72: CFG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 65.305 above 65.19 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 64.67-65.19.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3829.51 · equity $10221.26 (+2.21%) · today +0.03% · 8 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 388.74 (1.27%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 249.82 (0.48%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.185 (0.45%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.425 (-0.59%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 748.95 (0.17%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 49.725 (-6.13%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 141.31 (-1.69%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 350.33 (-0.54%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 0/3 in the last hour, 1/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2555.32). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 3/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $3625.08 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2555); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; overnight and multi-day ones stay. Stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders, and once a position is up by its stop distance code trails its stop at that distance behind the price.

MARKET
- SPY 748.95 (-0.5%), QQQ 672.46 (-0.93%), IWM 279.99, DIA 521.645, VIXY 18.4, TLT 80.89

SUBJECT VIG
- 249.81; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT SRLN
- 40.09; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT BOIL
- 19.16; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
536d2cbc7d3c [Nov 10, 2:03 AM ET | T2 globenewswire.com | offering | sev 55] Beyond Oil Ltd. Announces Non-Brokered Private Placement of Up to C$20 Million (https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/11/09/3398217/0/en/beyond-oil-announces-non-brokered-private-placement-of-up-to-c-20-million.html)
> machine summary of the article: Beyond Oil Ltd. announced a non-brokered private placement of up to 9,615,384 units at C$2.08 each, targeting up to C$20,000,000 in gross proceeds. The company intends to use the net proceeds for industrial research and development, sales and marketing, and general corporate purposes. Completion is subject to customary conditions, including TSX approval.
</untrusted>

SUBJECT FERG
- 260.15; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT AMCR
- 45.35; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT CFG
- 65.305; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

YOUR NOTES
- [MARKET, 2026-11-10T19:12Z] Closing window (17:00… [cut: 9,551 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [
    {
      "kind": "price_above",
      "symbol": "VIG",
      "level": 248.94,
      "at": "2026-11-11T09:35:00-05:00",
      "hours": 0,
      "priority": "review",
      "note": "Opening-range breakout setup from 19:43Z. Watch for open at 09:35 ET. If price holds above 248.94 with volume, review for entry."
    },
    {
      "kind": "price_above",
      "symbol": "SRLN",
      "level": 40.05,
      "at": "2026-11-11T09:35:00-05:00",
      "hours": 0,
      "priority": "review",
      "note": "Opening-range breakout setup from 19:44Z. Watch for open at 09:35 ET. If price holds above 40.05 with volume, review for entry."
    },
    {
      "kind": "price_above",
      "symbol": "CFG",
      "level": 65.19,
      "at": "2026-11-11T09:35:00-05:00",
      "hours": 0,
      "priority": "review",
      "note": "Opening-range breakout setup from 19:47Z. Watch for open at 09:35 ET. If price holds above 65.19 with volume, review for entry."
    }
  ],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 19:47 ET, inside the closing window (17:00-18:00 ET). Code prohibits new entries. I am setting watches for the three strongest setups (VIG, SRLN, CFG) to review at the open tomorrow morning, pending news checks."
}