Episode · the market · Nov 9, 11:42 AM

NOW: 2026-11-09T16:42Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 16:38Z setup, P1, salience 73: CACI new session high: closed 638.555 above 634.78 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 616.77-617.01.
- 16:38Z setup, P1, salience 70: INCY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 120.935 above 120.59 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 118.61-120.59.
- 16:38Z setup, P1, salience 64: TGT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 165.55 above 165.35 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 161.33-165.35.
- 16:38Z setup, P1, salience 63: MTD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 1744.16 above 1741.75 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 1723.32-1741.75.
- 16:39Z setup, P1, salience 69: WSM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 260.68 above 259.95 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 259.34-259.95.
- 16:40Z setup, P1, salience 76: CORT new session high: closed 76.24 above 76.08 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 70.91-72.45.
- 16:40Z setup, P1, salience 63: SHW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 353 above 352.53 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 349.15-352.53.
- 16:41Z setup, P1, salience 80: ABBV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 292.65 above 292.02 on 4.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 290-292.02.
- 16:41Z setup, P1, salience 67: SE new session high: closed 78.975 above 78.84 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 76.76-78.52.
- 16:42Z setup, P1, salience 82: GGG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 69.945 above 69.08 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 69-69.08.
- 16:42Z setup, P1, salience 63: WEC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 116.94 above 116.68 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 115.43-116.68.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $9943.90 (-0.56%) · today +0.41% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 104.85 (1.13%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.81 (1.54%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 138.675 (1.21%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 301.3 (-0.99%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252.07 (1.38%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.57 (0.07%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 195.96 (-1.45%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 750.105 (0.31%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 51.685 (-2.46%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 144.07 (0.15%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 355.24 (0.90%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, op… [cut: 13,410 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 16:42 ET, well past the 16:30 closing window. No new entries are permitted. The book holds 11 stocks with no exits triggered; cash is low. I am holding and letting the session close."
}